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Allsvenskan
Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson
Goteborg
T T S U S
1–2
Full-time
AIK
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg AIK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,5
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 65%
60%
70%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,81 xG 0,87
51% Possession 49%
19 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goteborg 14. · AIK 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 11 9 2 0 +17 +7.7 29
2 Hacken 10 5 5 0 +6 +3.3 20
3 Elfsborg 11 4 6 1 +5 +1.8 18
4 Hammarby 11 5 2 4 +11 +6.9 17
5 Mjallby 11 4 4 3 +3 -1.9 16
6 Malmo FF 11 5 1 5 +1 +2.1 16
7 GAIS 11 4 3 4 +5 +1.0 15
8 Brommapojkarna 10 4 3 3 -1 -0.1 15
9 Vasteras SK 11 4 3 4 -3 -1.9 15
10 Djurgarden 9 4 1 4 +6 +3.3 13
11 AIK 10 3 3 4 -4 -3.7 12
12 Kalmar 10 3 1 6 -4 +2.6 10
13 Degerfors 11 2 4 5 -5 -6.0 10
14 Goteborg 10 2 4 4 -9 -1.0 10
15 Halmstad 11 1 3 7 -13 -8.2 6
16 Orgryte 10 1 3 6 -15 -5.9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goteborg AIK
15′
🟨 Lukas Bergquist
1–0 S. Clemmensen
F. Eriksson
30′
34′
J. Hove 1–1
T. Ayari
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 A. Mujanic
↦ A. Ali
46′
🔁 V. Andersson
↦ K. Filling
64′
🔁 A. Faqa
↦ F. Nissen
70′
🟨 Eskil Edh
76′
A. Kouame 1–2
T. Ayari
R. Nafors Dahlin 🔁
↦ F. Eriksson
77′
R. Lundqvist 🔁
↦ S. Clemmensen
77′
I. Jagne 🔁
↦ F. Ottosson
80′
95′
🔁 L. Jareteg
↦ A. Kouame
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Goteborg

4-2-3-1
25 E. Bishesari G
18 F. Eriksson D
4 R. Yeboah D
3 A. Erlingmark D
22 N. Tolf D
16 F. Ottosson M
15 D. Kruse M
7 S. Clemmensen M
14 T. Heintz M
29 A. Bergmark-Wiberg M
9 M. Fenger F
Bench (8)
12 V. Andersson
8 I. Jagne
33 R. Nafors Dahlin
21 L. Radakovic
27 A. Boren
10 R. Lundqvist
35 E. Fasth
24 O. Mansson

Coach: Stefan Billborn

AIK

4-1-3-2
30 K. Joelsson G
2 E. Edh D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
14 F. Nissen D
5 L. Bergquist D
33 A. Csongvai M
8 J. Hove M
45 T. Ayari M
18 A. Ali M
48 A. Kouame F
29 K. Filling F
Bench (8)
40 N. Otterud
37 A. Faqa
22 A. Helm
43 N. Staykov
28 L. Jareteg
7 A. Mujanic
11 V. Andersson
41 M. Shilla

Coach: Jose Riveiro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kristoffer Karlsson · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.