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Allsvenskan

Referee: Erik Mattsson

Degerfors

U T U T U

0–1

Full-time

Malmo FF

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,0

4,7

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

60%

70%

Both score Ø 75%

70%

80%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,6

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,93 xG 3,81

38% Possession 62%

7 Shots 15

0 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Degerfors 12. · Malmo FF 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	11	9	2	0	+17	+7.7	29
2	Hacken	10	5	5	0	+6	+3.3	20
3	Elfsborg	11	4	6	1	+5	+1.8	18
4	Hammarby	11	5	2	4	+11	+6.9	17
5	Mjallby	11	4	4	3	+3	-1.9	16
6	GAIS	11	4	3	4	+5	+1.0	15
7	Brommapojkarna	10	4	3	3	-1	-0.1	15
8	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	+6	+3.3	13
9	Malmo FF	10	4	1	5	+0	-0.7	13
10	AIK	10	3	3	4	-4	-3.7	12
11	Vasteras SK	10	3	3	4	-5	-5.2	12
12	Degerfors	10	2	4	4	-4	-3.1	10
13	Kalmar	10	3	1	6	-4	+2.6	10
14	Goteborg	10	2	4	4	-9	-1.0	10
15	Halmstad	10	1	3	6	-11	-4.9	6
16	Orgryte	10	1	3	6	-15	-5.9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	6	5	1	0	+9	+5.9	16
2	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+15	+7.0	13
3	Elfsborg	6	3	3	0	+5	+1.4	12
4	GAIS	6	3	2	1	+8	+0.5	11
5	Hacken	5	3	2	0	+3	+2.3	11
6	Kalmar	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.1	10
7	Djurgarden	6	2	1	3	+4	+1.2	7
8	Malmo FF	5	2	0	3	+2	+2.8	6
9	Mjallby	4	2	0	2	+2	-1.1	6
10	AIK	5	2	0	3	-4	-2.1	6
11	Halmstad	5	1	2	2	-3	-2.2	5
12	Degerfors	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.4	5
13	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.8	4
14	Vasteras SK	5	0	3	2	-2	-0.3	3
15	Orgryte	5	0	3	2	-2	-0.4	3
16	Goteborg	4	0	2	2	-3	+0.0	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	5	4	1	0	+8	+1.8	13
2	Brommapojkarna	7	3	2	2	-1	+1.7	11
3	Mjallby	7	2	4	1	+1	-0.8	10
4	Hacken	5	2	3	0	+3	+1.0	9
5	Vasteras SK	5	3	0	2	-3	-4.9	9
6	Goteborg	6	2	2	2	-6	-1.0	8
7	Malmo FF	5	2	1	2	-2	-3.5	7
8	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.1	6
9	Elfsborg	5	1	3	1	+0	+0.4	6
10	AIK	5	1	3	1	+0	-1.5	6
11	Degerfors	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.3	5
12	GAIS	5	1	1	3	-3	+0.6	4
13	Hammarby	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.1	4
14	Orgryte	5	1	0	4	-13	-5.5	3
15	Halmstad	5	0	1	4	-8	-2.7	1
16	Kalmar	5	0	0	5	-7	+1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.