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Allsvenskan
Referee: Oscar Johnson
Malmo FF
S U U T S
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Brommapojkarna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
40%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
17%
40%
Both score Ø 37%
33%
40%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,73 xG 2,69
66% Possession 34%
27 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 7
12 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malmo FF 4. · Brommapojkarna 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 7 5 2 0 +11 +0.2 17
2 AIK 7 5 2 0 +6 -0.1 17
3 Hammarby 7 5 1 1 +11 +4.2 16
4 Malmo FF 6 3 2 1 +2 +3.2 11
5 Degerfors 7 3 1 3 +1 +1.8 10
6 Elfsborg 6 3 1 2 +1 +2.7 10
7 Hacken 7 3 1 3 -1 +1.0 10
8 Goteborg 7 3 1 3 -3 +1.2 10
9 Norrkoping 7 3 0 4 +0 -0.6 9
10 Djurgarden 6 2 2 2 -1 +2.1 8
11 GAIS 6 1 4 1 +1 -2.0 7
12 Brommapojkarna 5 2 1 2 +0 +0.2 7
13 Halmstad 7 2 1 4 -8 -5.9 7
14 Sirius 7 1 3 3 -4 -4.2 6
15 Oster 7 1 0 6 -7 -2.7 3
16 Varnamo 7 0 0 7 -9 -1.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF Brommapojkarna
Otto Rosengren 🟨
4′
Nils Zätterström 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Wilmer Odefalk
49′
E. Alladoh 0–1
O. Zanden
52′
D. Irandust 0–2
V. Lind
I. Kiese 🔁
↦ E. Botheim
61′
E. Ekong 🔁
↦ N. Zatterstrom
61′
D. T. Gudjohnsen 🔁
↦ O. Berg
61′
Busanello 🟨
68′
69′
🔁 A. Jakobsen
↦ D. Irandust
A. Skogmar 🔁
↦ H. Bolin
82′
1–2 L. Johnsen
T. Ali
83′
85′
🔁 E. Bjorkander
↦ W. Odefalk
92′
🟨 Kaare Barslund
92′
🔁 D. Isso
↦ K. Barslund
93′
🔁 O. Cotton
↦ L. Arrhov
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-3-2-1
1 Ricardo Friedrich G
17 J. Stryger D
19 C. Rosler D
35 N. Zatterstrom D
25 Busanello D
16 O. Berg M
23 L. Johnsen M
7 O. Rosengren M
38 H. Bolin M
22 T. Ali M
20 E. Botheim F
Bench (9)
33 M. Ellborg
2 J. Karlsson
6 O. Lewicki
9 I. Kiese
11 E. Ekong
13 M. Olsson
32 D. T. Gudjohnsen
34 Z. Loukili
37 A. Skogmar

Coach: Henrik Per-Erik Rydström

Brommapojkarna

4-2-3-1
25 D. Blazevic G
21 A. Timossi D
2 H. Karlsson D
3 E. Hovland D
6 O. Zanden D
10 W. Odefalk M
27 K. Barslund M
19 D. Irandust M
31 L. Arrhov M
7 V. Lind M
23 E. Alladoh F
Bench (9)
40 L. Cavallius
4 E. Bjorkander
16 A. Jakobsen
17 A. Kurochkin
20 M. Vetkal
32 O. Cotton
33 S. Oppong
34 D. Isso
77 F. Christensen

Coach: Ulf Kristiansson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oscar Johnson · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.