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Allsvenskan

Referee: Joakim Ostling

Sirius

T U U S T

1–2

Full-time

Norrkoping

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Norrkoping

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

22%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

44%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,9

Scored

1,3

1,9

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,73 xG 1,31

60% Possession 40%

25 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

14 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sirius 14. · Norrkoping 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	10	6	4	0	+7	+1.3	22
2	Hammarby	10	6	3	1	+12	+6.6	21
3	Mjallby	9	6	2	1	+12	+2.0	20
4	Elfsborg	9	6	1	2	+5	+4.7	19
5	Malmo FF	10	5	3	2	+7	+6.7	18
6	Hacken	10	4	2	4	-1	+2.0	14
7	Degerfors	9	4	1	4	-1	+0.2	13
8	GAIS	10	2	6	2	+1	+1.0	12
9	Djurgarden	8	3	2	3	-2	-0.4	11
10	Norrkoping	9	3	1	5	-1	-2.7	10
11	Brommapojkarna	8	3	1	4	-1	-0.1	10
12	Goteborg	9	3	1	5	-5	+0.9	10
13	Halmstad	10	3	1	6	-12	-7.7	10
14	Sirius	9	2	3	4	-3	-5.1	9
15	Oster	10	2	1	7	-7	-5.7	7
16	Varnamo	10	0	2	8	-11	-3.7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	5	4	1	0	+9	+5.8	13
2	Elfsborg	5	4	1	0	+6	+1.7	13
3	AIK	5	3	2	0	+4	+1.9	11
4	Mjallby	4	3	1	0	+6	+1.9	10
5	Malmo FF	5	3	1	1	+5	+4.2	10
6	Hacken	6	2	2	2	+0	+3.3	8
7	Norrkoping	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.3	6
8	Halmstad	5	2	0	3	-6	-4.2	6
9	GAIS	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.2	5
10	Djurgarden	5	1	2	2	-2	-1.7	5
11	Goteborg	5	1	1	3	-2	+3.0	4
12	Sirius	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.4	4
13	Degerfors	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.3	4
14	Oster	5	1	1	3	-3	-3.1	4
15	Brommapojkarna	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.5	3
16	Varnamo	5	0	1	4	-5	-1.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	5	3	2	0	+3	-0.6	11
2	Mjallby	5	3	1	1	+6	+0.1	10
3	Degerfors	5	3	0	2	+2	+2.5	9
4	Hammarby	5	2	2	1	+3	+0.8	8
5	Malmo FF	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.4	8
6	Brommapojkarna	5	2	1	2	+1	-0.5	7
7	GAIS	6	1	4	1	+0	+0.8	7
8	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.3	6
9	Hacken	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.3	6
10	Elfsborg	4	2	0	2	-1	+3.0	6
11	Goteborg	4	2	0	2	-3	-2.1	6
12	Sirius	5	1	2	2	-1	-3.7	5
13	Norrkoping	4	1	1	2	-1	-2.9	4
14	Halmstad	5	1	1	3	-6	-3.5	4
15	Oster	5	1	0	4	-4	-2.5	3
16	Varnamo	5	0	1	4	-6	-2.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.