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Allsvenskan

Referee: K Karlsson

Sirius

T S U U T

5–1

Full-time

Norrkoping

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Norrkoping

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,8

2,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

27%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

55%

73%

Both score Ø 55%

36%

73%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,14 xG 1,07

66% Possession 34%

17 Shots 10

12 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sirius 13. · Norrkoping 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	13	10	2	1	+25	+12.8	32
2	Djurgarden	11	8	1	2	+16	+0.8	25
3	GAIS	11	7	0	4	+3	-0.3	21
4	Mjallby	12	6	2	4	+6	+1.0	20
5	Hammarby	11	6	0	5	+3	+1.2	18
6	AIK	11	5	2	4	-1	-0.1	17
7	Hacken	12	5	2	5	-1	-2.2	17
8	Elfsborg	13	5	1	7	+1	+2.6	16
9	Brommapojkarna	12	3	6	3	-2	+2.1	15
10	Halmstad	11	5	0	6	-6	-4.1	15
11	Varnamo	11	4	2	5	-3	-4.8	14
12	Goteborg	12	4	2	6	-6	-4.1	14
13	Sirius	11	3	3	5	-5	+1.4	12
14	Norrkoping	11	3	2	6	-13	-3.6	11
15	Kalmar	11	3	1	7	-7	-5.0	10
16	Vasteras SK	11	1	2	8	-10	+2.3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	6	6	0	0	+15	+5.5	18
2	AIK	6	5	0	1	+10	+2.1	15
3	Hammarby	6	5	0	1	+9	+1.2	15
4	GAIS	6	5	0	1	+4	+1.0	15
5	Mjallby	7	4	2	1	+6	+0.7	14
6	Elfsborg	6	4	1	1	+10	+2.4	13
7	Djurgarden	6	4	1	1	+6	-2.1	13
8	Hacken	6	3	1	2	+2	-1.4	10
9	Halmstad	5	3	0	2	+1	-0.2	9
10	Goteborg	6	2	1	3	-5	-3.6	7
11	Norrkoping	5	2	0	3	-6	-3.2	6
12	Brommapojkarna	6	1	3	2	-7	-0.4	6
13	Sirius	5	1	2	2	-1	+1.5	5
14	Kalmar	5	1	1	3	+0	-1.4	4
15	Vasteras SK	6	1	1	4	-5	+1.9	4
16	Varnamo	5	0	1	4	-9	-2.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	7	4	2	1	+10	+7.3	14
2	Varnamo	6	4	1	1	+6	-2.4	13
3	Djurgarden	5	4	0	1	+10	+2.8	12
4	Brommapojkarna	6	2	3	1	+5	+2.4	9
5	Goteborg	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.5	7
6	Hacken	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.7	7
7	Sirius	6	2	1	3	-4	-0.0	7
8	Mjallby	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.3	6
9	GAIS	5	2	0	3	-1	-1.3	6
10	Kalmar	6	2	0	4	-7	-3.7	6
11	Halmstad	6	2	0	4	-7	-3.9	6
12	Norrkoping	6	1	2	3	-7	-0.3	5
13	Hammarby	5	1	0	4	-6	–	3
14	Elfsborg	7	1	0	6	-9	+0.2	3
15	AIK	5	0	2	3	-11	-2.2	2
16	Vasteras SK	5	0	1	4	-5	+0.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.