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Allsvenskan

Referee: Adi Aganovic

Hammarby

T S U S U

3–2

Full-time

Sirius

U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

63%

25%

Points per game

2,1

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

38%

Both score Ø 51%

38%

63%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,77 xG 0,94

68% Possession 32%

17 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

10 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hammarby 2. · Sirius 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	8	6	2	0	+7	+0.8	20
2	Hammarby	8	5	2	1	+11	+6.2	17
3	Mjallby	8	5	2	1	+10	-0.7	17
4	Elfsborg	8	5	1	2	+4	+4.2	16
5	Malmo FF	8	4	2	2	+4	+4.9	14
6	Djurgarden	7	3	2	2	+0	+2.3	11
7	Norrkoping	8	3	1	4	+0	-2.7	10
8	Brommapojkarna	7	3	1	3	+0	+0.4	10
9	Degerfors	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.2	10
10	Hacken	8	3	1	4	-3	+1.0	10
11	Goteborg	8	3	1	4	-4	+0.9	10
12	Halmstad	8	3	1	4	-7	-6.1	10
13	Sirius	8	2	3	3	-2	-4.3	9
14	GAIS	8	1	5	2	-1	-1.0	8
15	Oster	8	1	0	7	-8	-5.2	3
16	Varnamo	8	0	1	7	-9	-1.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	4	3	1	0	+8	+4.9	10
2	Mjallby	4	3	1	0	+6	+1.9	10
3	Elfsborg	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.2	10
4	AIK	4	3	1	0	+4	+1.4	10
5	Malmo FF	4	2	1	1	+2	+4.2	7
6	Norrkoping	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.3	6
7	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-4	-2.7	6
8	GAIS	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.2	5
9	Djurgarden	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.0	5
10	Goteborg	4	1	1	2	-1	+3.0	4
11	Hacken	4	1	1	2	-2	+2.3	4
12	Sirius	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.4	4
13	Degerfors	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.3	4
14	Brommapojkarna	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.5	3
15	Oster	4	1	0	3	-3	-2.7	3
16	Varnamo	4	0	0	4	-5	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.6	10
2	Mjallby	4	2	1	1	+4	-2.6	7
3	Hammarby	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.3	7
4	Brommapojkarna	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.0	7
5	Malmo FF	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.7	7
6	Degerfors	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.5	6
7	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.3	6
8	Hacken	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.3	6
9	Elfsborg	4	2	0	2	-1	+3.0	6
10	Goteborg	4	2	0	2	-3	-2.1	6
11	Sirius	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.9	5
12	Norrkoping	4	1	1	2	-1	-2.9	4
13	Halmstad	4	1	1	2	-3	-3.5	4
14	GAIS	4	0	3	1	-2	-1.2	3
15	Varnamo	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.0	1
16	Oster	4	0	0	4	-5	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.