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Allsvenskan
Referee: B Pandzic
Hammarby
S S T S S
5–1
Full-time
Degerfors
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Degerfors
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,7
This season — Allsvenskan · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 39%
61%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
61%
44%
Both score Ø 42%
28%
56%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,9
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 20
8 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hammarby 3. · Degerfors 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 19 12 5 2 +19 41
2 Djurgarden 19 11 5 3 +25 38
3 Hammarby 18 11 3 4 +22 36
4 AIK 19 10 5 4 +6 35
5 Malmo FF 19 10 4 5 +10 34
6 Goteborg 19 9 3 7 +7 30
7 Kalmar 19 9 3 7 +5 30
8 Mjallby 19 7 7 5 +2 28
9 Sirius 19 7 4 8 -6 25
10 Elfsborg 19 5 9 5 +7 24
11 Norrkoping 19 5 5 9 -5 20
12 Varberg 19 5 5 9 -16 20
13 Varnamo 19 4 7 8 -10 19
14 Helsingborg 19 3 5 11 -15 14
15 Degerfors 18 3 3 12 -21 12
16 Sundsvall 19 3 1 15 -30 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby Degerfors
-5′
🟨 Dijan Vukojevic
1–0 Mohanad Jeahze
S. Pinas
2′
2–0 N. Besara
V. Berisha
26′
42′
A. Mörfelt 2–1
J. Gyau
Half-time 2–1
Jeppe Andersen 🟨
52′
P. Vagić 🔁
↦ D. Bojanić
58′
David Concha 🔁
↦ B. Trawally
58′
Edvin Kurtulus 🟨
64′
3–1 V. Berisha
N. Besara
65′
72′
🔁 E. Lindell
↦ E. Bouzaiene
72′
🔁 J. Bertilsson
↦ A. Mörfelt
73′
🟨 Gustav Granath
4–1 V. Berisha
Mohanad Jeahze
76′
A. Saidi 🔁
↦ N. Besara
77′
79′
🔁 A. Rajamohan
↦ R. Örqvist
79′
🔁 D. Vukojević
↦ O. Faraj
A. Demirol 🔁
↦ V. Berisha
84′
84′
🔁 A. Carlén
↦ J. Salmon
J. Nilsson 🔁
↦ E. Kurtulus
85′
5–1 A. Saidi
J. Andersen
88′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Hammarby

4-3-3
25 D. Blažević G
13 M. Fenger D
5 Mohanad Jeahze D
30 S. Pinas D
21 E. Kurtulus D
20 N. Besara M
6 D. Bojanić M
8 J. Andersen M
9 V. Berisha F
11 B. Trawally F
16 G. Ludwigson F
Bench (7)
15 P. Vagić
17 David Concha
40 A. Saidi
34 A. Demirol
22 J. Nilsson
24 O. Dovin
2 S. Sandberg

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Degerfors

4-3-3
1 A. Whiteman G
2 G. Granath D
15 G. Lagerbielke D
5 J. Gyau D
16 R. Örqvist M
11 C. Gravius M
18 A. Mörfelt F
8 D. Campos F
22 J. Salmon M
20 E. Bouzaiene D
19 O. Faraj F
Bench (7)
12 E. Lindell
9 J. Bertilsson
23 A. Rajamohan
10 D. Vukojević
21 A. Carlén
25 J. Gal
4 S. Sabetkar

Coach: T. Solberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Pandzic · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.