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Allsvenskan

Referee: V Wolf

Varnamo

T U T

0–0

Full-time

Malmo FF

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,8

This season — Allsvenskan · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

2,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

8 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 1

3 Offside 6

11 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 14. · Malmo FF 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Goteborg	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Mjallby	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Malmo FF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Hacken	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Sirius	4	2	1	1	-1	7
8	Kalmar	4	2	0	2	+3	6
9	Varberg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	AIK	4	2	0	2	-3	6
11	Elfsborg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Sundsvall	4	1	0	3	-6	3
13	Norrkoping	4	0	1	3	-3	1
14	Varnamo	3	0	1	2	-4	1
15	Helsingborg	3	0	0	3	-3	0
16	Degerfors	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	AIK	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Goteborg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Hacken	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Varberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Varnamo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Norrkoping	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Degerfors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Hacken	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Mjallby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Varberg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Elfsborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Djurgarden	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Sirius	2	0	1	1	-3	1
11	Norrkoping	2	0	0	2	-2	0
12	Helsingborg	2	0	0	2	-2	0
13	Sundsvall	2	0	0	2	-3	0
14	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-4	0
15	Degerfors	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	AIK	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.