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Superligaen

Referee: Mikkel Redder

Viborg

T T S T U

2–1

Full-time

Aarhus

U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

0,7

3,0

Scored

0,3

1,5

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,84 xG 1,90

34% Possession 66%

12 Shots 22

3 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 11

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 10

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Viborg 6. · Aarhus 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	3	2	1	0	+3	-1.7	7
2	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.9	6
3	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.0	6
4	Randers FC	3	1	1	1	+1	-3.1	4
5	Nordsjaelland	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.7	4
6	Viborg	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.4	4
7	Silkeborg	3	1	1	1	-1	+1.4	4
8	Odense	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.3	3
9	Aarhus	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.8	2
10	Sonderjyske	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.1	1
11	Lyngby	3	0	1	2	-3	+2.3	1
12	Horsens	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.5	4
2	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
3	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
4	Nordsjaelland	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.6	3
5	Odense	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
6	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
7	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
8	Silkeborg	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.9	3
9	Lyngby	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
10	Aarhus	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Sonderjyske	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
12	Horsens	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.6	4
2	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.1	3
3	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
4	Aarhus	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
5	Silkeborg	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
6	Nordsjaelland	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
7	Viborg	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.0	1
8	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
9	Randers FC	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.6	0
10	Sonderjyske	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
11	Odense	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.1	0
12	Lyngby	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.