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Champions League
Referee: Rade Obrenovič
Aarhus
S T U S U
2–1
Full-time
Sabah FA
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Sabah FA
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,0
1,8
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
100%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Aarhus Sabah FA
J. Andersen 🔁
↦ F. Tingager
29′
1–0 J. Bogere ⚽
31′
37′
🟨 Veljko Simić
39′
🟨 Joy Lance Mickels
Half-time 1–0
R. Carstensen 🔁
↦ J. Jonsson
46′
2–0 J. Bogere ⚽
M. Knudsen
63′
65′
🔁 O. Mbina
↦ K. Parris
66′
⚽ V. Simic 2–1
U. Rakhmonaliyev
G. Links 🔁
↦ F. Emmery
71′
Gift Links 🟨
73′
Magnus Knudsen 🟨
74′
79′
🔁 X. Severina
↦ A. Isayev
C. Storch 🔁
↦ C. Rosler
81′
J. Serra 🔁
↦ M. Anderson
81′
91′
ℹ️ Christian Storch
VAR: Goal cancelled
93′
🔁 Y. Lachaab
↦ J. Mickels
93′
🔁 A. Khaybulaev
↦ V. Simic
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-4-3
21 M. Hedenstad G
25 C. Rosler D
5 F. Tingager D
19 E. Kahl D
23 M. Anderson M
4 M. Knudsen M
16 J. Jonsson M
39 F. Emmery M
31 T. Bech F
28 J. Bogere F
10 K. Arnstad F
Bench (12)
1 J. Hansen
11 G. Links
29 R. Carstensen
26 J. Andersen
45 C. Storch
13 J. Serra
7 M. Solbakken
8 S. Jorgensen
27 S. Tchamche
46 H. Sengooba
20 T. Kristjansson
44 M. Camara

Coach: Jakob Poulsen

Sabah FA

4-2-3-1
92 S. Pokatilov G
80 A. Zedadka D
3 S. Solvet D
5 R. Dashdamirov D
27 T. Puchacz D
7 U. Rakhmonaliyev M
13 I. Lepinjica M
11 K. Parris M
10 A. Isayev M
21 V. Simic M
20 J. Mickels F
Bench (12)
94 R. Mirzammadov
1 A. Ramazanov
88 R. Fernandes
16 R. Rustamli
33 E. A. Santos Junior
23 Y. Lachaab
8 C. Nwachukwu
17 T. Mutallimov
99 O. Mbina
34 X. Severina
4 A. McCarthy
6 A. Khaybulaev

Coach: Valdas Dambrauskas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.