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Coupe de France

Sarreguemines

S S T S

3–4

Full-time

Nancy

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarreguemines Nancy

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 54%

75%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

4,8

3,0

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

This season — Coupe de France · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

8,0

5,0

Scored

5,0

Conceded

3,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+5,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sarreguemines 27. · Nancy 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Concarneau	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Ancienne Château-Gontier	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	St Maur Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+7	3
4	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Laval	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Nancy	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Olympique Marcquois	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Carnoux	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Chauvigny	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Racing Besançon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Aubervilliers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	MJEP Cormontreuil	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Stade Briochin	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	Bassin d'Arcachon Sud	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Canet Roussillon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Raon l'Etape	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Mulhouse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Chalon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Chantilly	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Dieppe	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Feurs	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Sarreguemines	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Granville	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Rodez	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Pontivy GSI	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Red Star	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Torcy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Stade Plabennec	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Bondues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Romorantin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Biesheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Gosier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Bayeux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Marmande	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Abbeville	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Reims Sainte-Anne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Montceau	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Yvetot	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Poitiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Istres	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	Reims	1	1	0	0	+1	3
58	Union Saint-Jean	1	1	0	0	+1	3
59	Mazeres	1	1	0	0	+1	3
60	Montreuil	1	1	0	0	+1	3
61	Beaucouzé	1	1	0	0	+1	3
62	Saint-Pauloise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
63	Nord Lozère	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Ecotay Moingt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Boulogne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Oissel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Croix Football IC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Racing Colombes 92	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	APM Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Pontarlier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Sochaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Etoile Matoury	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Le Geldar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Wittenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Freyming	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Andrézieux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Hauts Lyonnais	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
82	Plouvorn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
83	Loon-Plage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
84	Stade Béthunois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
85	Saint-Meziery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
86	Périgny	1	0	1	0	+0	1
87	Rhone-Vallee	1	0	1	0	+0	1
88	Grasse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
89	Villars-l'Isle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
90	Sarre Union	1	0	1	0	+0	1
91	Steenvoorde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
92	Chambly Thelle FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
93	Ivry	1	0	1	0	+0	1
94	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
95	Etoile Bobigny	1	0	1	0	+0	1
96	Villeneuve-la-Garenne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
97	Saint-Brice Courcelles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	Bogny	1	0	1	0	+0	1
99	Pen Hir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
100	Les Sables-d'Olonne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
101	UF Touraine	1	0	1	0	+0	1
102	Épernay	1	0	1	0	+0	1
103	Blois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
104	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
105	Drancy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
106	Beauvais	1	0	1	0	+0	1
107	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
108	Gobelins	1	0	1	0	+0	1
109	SA Mérignac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
110	Colomiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
111	Sablé	1	0	1	0	+0	1
112	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
113	Vendée Fontenay	1	0	1	0	+0	1
114	Chamalières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
115	Saint-Cyr Collonges	1	0	1	0	+0	1
116	Thonon Évian	1	0	1	0	+0	1
117	Seyssinet-Pariset	1	0	1	0	+0	1
118	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
119	Espoir Ste Luce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
120	Eveil	1	0	1	0	+0	1
121	Mauguio Carnon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
122	Selongey	1	0	1	0	+0	1
123	Strasbourg Koenigshoffen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
124	Moulien	1	0	0	1	-1	0
125	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
126	Seignosse Capbreton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
127	ES Cappelle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
128	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	Cannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	L'Etrat La Tour	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	Caen PTT	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Lapalisse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	SS Allinges	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	Boé Bon Encontre	1	0	0	1	-1	0
136	ASPTT Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
137	OCPAM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
138	Angoulême	1	0	0	1	-1	0
139	FC 2 Rives 82	1	0	0	1	-1	0
140	Bandrele	1	0	0	1	-1	0
141	Montmorillon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
142	Dominicaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
143	Savigneux Montbrison	1	0	0	1	-2	0
144	Furiani-Agliani	1	0	0	1	-2	0
145	Orvault SF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
146	Dinan Léhon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
147	Lavaur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
148	Quetigny	1	0	0	1	-2	0
149	Trélissac	1	0	0	1	-2	0
150	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
151	Agde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
152	Challans	1	0	0	1	-2	0
153	Forbach	1	0	0	1	-2	0
154	Atlas Paillade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
155	Avion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
156	Plédran	1	0	0	1	-2	0
157	Longuenesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
158	Pierrelatte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
159	Le Poinconnet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
160	SA Beaumont	1	0	0	1	-3	0
161	Porto Portugais Amiens	1	0	0	1	-3	0
162	Blagnac	1	0	0	1	-3	0
163	Auch	1	0	0	1	-3	0
164	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-3	0
165	France Aizenay	1	0	0	1	-3	0
166	ASS Still Mutzig	1	0	0	1	-3	0
167	Olympique de Villefontaine	1	0	0	1	-3	0
168	Magenta	1	0	0	1	-3	0
169	Auby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
170	Les Bleuets	1	0	0	1	-3	0
171	Montreal-la-Cluse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
172	Premontre	1	0	0	1	-3	0
173	Saint-Amand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
174	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-4	0
175	Avenir Sportif de Gouzon	1	0	0	1	-4	0
176	Cambrai	1	0	0	1	-4	0
177	Saint-Renan	1	0	0	1	-4	0
178	Thionville Lusitanos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
179	GSA Tomblaine	1	0	0	1	-5	0
180	OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys	1	0	0	1	-5	0
181	US Chateau-Malo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
182	Le Cellier Mauves	1	0	0	1	-6	0
183	Camon	1	0	0	1	-7	0
184	Stade Quimperlois	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nancy	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Olympique Marcquois	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Carnoux	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Racing Besançon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	MJEP Cormontreuil	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Bassin d'Arcachon Sud	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Sarreguemines	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Granville	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Bayeux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Reims Sainte-Anne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Montceau	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Yvetot	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Concarneau	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Union Saint-Jean	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Montreuil	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Saint-Pauloise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Nord Lozère	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Boulogne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Oissel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Croix Football IC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	APM Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Pontarlier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Etoile Matoury	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Wittenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Andrézieux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Loon-Plage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Saint-Meziery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Rhone-Vallee	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Villars-l'Isle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Steenvoorde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Ivry	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Etoile Bobigny	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Saint-Brice Courcelles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Pen Hir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	UF Touraine	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Blois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Drancy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	SA Mérignac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Sablé	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Vendée Fontenay	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Saint-Cyr Collonges	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Seyssinet-Pariset	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Espoir Ste Luce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Mauguio Carnon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Strasbourg Koenigshoffen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Moulien	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Seignosse Capbreton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	ES Cappelle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Cannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Lapalisse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	SS Allinges	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Boé Bon Encontre	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	ASPTT Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	OCPAM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	FC 2 Rives 82	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Montmorillon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Savigneux Montbrison	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Orvault SF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Lavaur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Quetigny	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Trélissac	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Agde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Challans	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Forbach	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Atlas Paillade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Avion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Plédran	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Longuenesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Pierrelatte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Le Poinconnet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	SA Beaumont	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Auch	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	France Aizenay	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	ASS Still Mutzig	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Olympique de Villefontaine	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Magenta	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Auby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Les Bleuets	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Montreal-la-Cluse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	Premontre	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Saint-Amand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Avenir Sportif de Gouzon	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	Cambrai	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	Saint-Renan	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	US Chateau-Malo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
91	Le Cellier Mauves	1	0	0	1	-6	0
92	Camon	1	0	0	1	-7	0
93	Stade Quimperlois	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ancienne Château-Gontier	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	St Maur Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+7	3
3	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Laval	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Chauvigny	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Aubervilliers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Stade Briochin	2	1	0	1	+3	3
9	Canet Roussillon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Raon l'Etape	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Mulhouse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Concarneau	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Chalon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Chantilly	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Dieppe	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Feurs	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Rodez	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Pontivy GSI	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Red Star	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Torcy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Stade Plabennec	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Bondues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Romorantin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Biesheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Gosier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Marmande	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Abbeville	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Poitiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Istres	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Reims	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Mazeres	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Beaucouzé	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Ecotay Moingt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Racing Colombes 92	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Sochaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Le Geldar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Freyming	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Hauts Lyonnais	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Plouvorn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Stade Béthunois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Périgny	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Grasse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Sarre Union	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Chambly Thelle FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Villeneuve-la-Garenne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Bogny	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Les Sables-d'Olonne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Épernay	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Beauvais	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Gobelins	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Colomiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Chamalières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Thonon Évian	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Eveil	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Selongey	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	L'Etrat La Tour	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Caen PTT	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Angoulême	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Bandrele	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Dominicaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Furiani-Agliani	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Dinan Léhon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Porto Portugais Amiens	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Blagnac	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Thionville Lusitanos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	GSA Tomblaine	1	0	0	1	-5	0
92	OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.