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LaLiga2
Referee: Iosu Galech
Granada
T S T U U
2–2
Full-time
Malaga
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 16. · Malaga 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 5 3 2 0 +4 11
2 Santander 5 3 2 0 +4 11
3 Eibar 5 3 2 0 +3 11
4 Zaragoza 5 3 1 1 +7 10
5 Burgos 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Mirandes 5 2 3 0 +3 9
7 Huesca 5 3 0 2 +2 9
8 Malaga 5 2 3 0 +2 9
9 Castellon 5 2 1 2 +2 7
10 Eldense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Oviedo 5 2 1 2 -2 7
12 Cadiz 5 1 3 1 -2 6
13 Albacete 5 2 0 3 -2 6
14 Sp Gijon 5 1 2 2 +0 5
15 Cordoba 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Granada 5 1 2 2 -2 5
17 Almeria 5 1 2 2 -3 5
18 Elche 5 1 1 3 -3 4
19 La Coruna 5 1 1 3 -3 4
20 Ferrol 5 0 3 2 -2 3
21 Cartagena 5 1 0 4 -4 3
22 Tenerife 5 0 1 4 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Malaga
Manu Trigueros 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–0
Gonzalo Villar 🔁
↦ Manu Trigueros
46′
1–0 Carlos Neva
M. Hongla
56′
60′
Antonio Cordero 1–1
Dioni
63′
🔁 Sergio Castel
↦ Dioni
K. Jóźwiak 🔁
↦ G. Tsitaishvili
69′
T. Corbeanu 🔁
↦ Reinier
69′
Miguel Rubio 🟨
74′
76′
🔁 Juanpe
↦ A. Moloney
76′
🔁 Julen Lobete
↦ Y. Rahmani
2–1 M. Uzuni
77′
79′
🟨 Sergio Castel Martínez
82′
🟨 Luismi
83′
🔁 Dani Lorenzo
↦ Einar Galilea
83′
🔁 Chupe
↦ Luismi
Miguel Brau 🔁
↦ Carlos Neva
84′
89′
🟨 Daniel Sánchez
Theo Corbeanu 🟨
91′
S. Weissman 🔁
↦ M. Uzuni
91′
93′
Nélson Monte 2–2
Antonio Cordero
94′
🟨 Chupete
97′
🟨 Nélson Monte
Shon Weissman
penalty missed
98′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Granada

3-4-3
13 Marc Martínez G
6 M. Hongla D
4 Miguel Rubio D
24 Loïc Williams D
12 Ricard Sánchez M
20 Sergio Ruiz M
23 Manu Trigueros M
15 Carlos Neva M
11 G. Tsitaishvili F
10 M. Uzuni F
19 Reinier F
Bench (12)
8 Gonzalo Villar
18 K. Jóźwiak
17 T. Corbeanu
3 Miguel Brau
9 S. Weissman
32 Juanma
2 Rubén Sánchez
28 O. Oppong
22 Pablo Sáenz
14 Ignasi Miquel
25 Diego Mariño
30 Siren Diao

Coach: Guillermo Abascal

Malaga

4-2-3-1
1 Alfonso Herrero G
3 Puga D
20 Nélson Monte D
4 Einar Galilea D
18 Dani Sánchez D
12 Manu Molina M
19 Luismi M
21 Y. Rahmani M
35 A. Moloney M
26 Antonio Cordero M
17 Dioni F
Bench (12)
25 Sergio Castel
8 Juanpe
24 Julen Lobete
22 Dani Lorenzo
27 Chupe
29 Izan Merino
5 Álex Pastor
14 Víctor García
2 Gabilondo
13 Carlos López
16 Diego Murillo
23 Sangalli

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,83
U ✓
3,38
B
4,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,26
U2,5
1,62
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Iosu Galech · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.