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LaLiga2
Lugo
T U T S U
2–1
Full-time
Cartagena
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 27%
23%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
33%
45%
Both score Ø 52%
48%
55%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 6
21 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 20. · Cartagena 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 41 24 10 7 +44 82
2 Mallorca 41 24 9 8 +26 81
3 Almeria 40 19 10 11 +18 67
4 Leganes 40 19 10 11 +13 67
5 Girona 40 19 10 11 +10 67
6 Vallecano 40 18 10 12 +11 64
7 Sp Gijon 40 17 13 10 +11 64
8 Ponferradina 40 15 11 14 -3 56
9 Mirandes 41 14 12 15 -1 54
10 Tenerife 41 13 12 16 +0 51
11 Oviedo 41 11 18 12 -1 51
12 Fuenlabrada 40 11 17 12 -2 50
13 Las Palmas 40 12 14 14 -9 50
14 Malaga 40 13 11 16 -12 50
15 Zaragoza 41 12 12 17 -4 48
16 Cartagena 40 12 12 16 -7 48
17 Alcorcon 40 12 10 18 -7 46
18 Logrones 40 11 11 18 -23 44
19 Castellon 40 11 8 21 -14 41
20 Lugo 40 9 14 17 -17 41
21 Sabadell 40 9 13 18 -12 40
22 Albacete 40 9 11 20 -21 38

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Oct -20 Cartagena – Lugo 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,61
U
3,69
B
5,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.