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Serie B

Empoli

U T U T U

3–1

Full-time

Crotone

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Crotone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 36%

24%

48%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

33%

62%

Both score Ø 60%

57%

62%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

17 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 5

3 Corners 10

18 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Empoli 16. · Crotone 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	21	15	5	1	+26	50
2	Pordenone	22	10	5	7	+1	35
3	Crotone	21	10	4	7	+9	34
4	Frosinone	22	9	7	6	+7	34
5	Cittadella	22	9	6	7	+1	33
6	Salernitana	21	9	5	7	+4	32
7	Spezia	21	8	7	6	+4	31
8	Virtus Entella	22	8	7	7	+2	31
9	Chievo	21	7	9	5	+4	30
10	Ascoli	22	9	3	10	+1	30
11	Perugia	21	8	6	7	-2	30
12	Pescara	21	8	5	8	+4	29
13	Pisa	22	7	8	7	+1	29
14	Juve Stabia	21	8	4	9	-6	28
15	Venezia	21	5	9	7	-4	24
16	Empoli	21	5	9	7	-6	24
17	Cremonese	21	5	8	8	-8	23
18	Cosenza	21	4	8	9	-2	20
19	Trapani	22	4	7	11	-18	19
20	Livorno	22	3	4	15	-18	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	11	9	2	0	+21	29
2	Pordenone	11	8	2	1	+11	26
3	Frosinone	11	7	3	1	+13	24
4	Ascoli	10	7	1	2	+8	22
5	Crotone	11	6	3	2	+9	21
6	Perugia	11	6	3	2	+6	21
7	Salernitana	10	5	4	1	+7	19
8	Virtus Entella	10	5	4	1	+5	19
9	Juve Stabia	11	6	1	4	+0	19
10	Chievo	10	5	3	2	+5	18
11	Empoli	11	4	6	1	+5	18
12	Spezia	11	5	3	3	+4	18
13	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+2	16
14	Cremonese	11	4	4	3	+0	16
15	Cittadella	11	4	3	4	-3	15
16	Pescara	11	3	5	3	+4	14
17	Cosenza	10	2	4	4	-1	10
18	Trapani	11	2	4	5	-5	10
19	Livorno	11	3	1	7	-8	10
20	Venezia	10	2	3	5	-5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	10	6	3	1	+5	21
2	Cittadella	11	5	3	3	+4	18
3	Venezia	11	3	6	2	+1	15
4	Pescara	10	5	0	5	+0	15
5	Crotone	10	4	1	5	+0	13
6	Spezia	10	3	4	3	+0	13
7	Pisa	11	3	4	4	-1	13
8	Salernitana	11	4	1	6	-3	13
9	Chievo	11	2	6	3	-1	12
10	Virtus Entella	12	3	3	6	-3	12
11	Cosenza	11	2	4	5	-1	10
12	Frosinone	11	2	4	5	-6	10
13	Juve Stabia	10	2	3	5	-6	9
14	Perugia	10	2	3	5	-8	9
15	Pordenone	11	2	3	6	-10	9
16	Trapani	11	2	3	6	-13	9
17	Ascoli	12	2	2	8	-7	8
18	Cremonese	10	1	4	5	-8	7
19	Empoli	10	1	3	6	-11	6
20	Livorno	11	0	3	8	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.