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Serie B

Referee: I Pezzuto

Cittadella

T U U T T

0–1

Full-time

Brescia

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 24%

26%

21%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

44%

41%

Both score Ø 50%

41%

59%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

0,8

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

16 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

24 Free kicks against 17

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cittadella 18. · Brescia 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	34	24	6	4	+41	78
2	Pisa	35	21	7	7	+25	70
3	Spezia	35	16	15	4	+26	63
4	Cremonese	35	15	12	8	+18	57
5	Juve Stabia	35	14	11	10	+2	53
6	Palermo	35	13	9	13	+8	48
7	Catanzaro	35	10	18	7	+4	48
8	Bari	35	9	17	9	+2	44
9	Modena	35	10	14	11	+0	44
10	Cesena	35	11	11	13	-4	44
11	Sudtirol	35	11	8	16	-8	41
12	Carrarese	34	10	11	13	-8	41
13	Mantova	35	9	13	13	-8	40
14	Frosinone	35	8	15	12	-12	39
15	Reggiana	35	9	11	15	-11	38
16	Sampdoria	35	7	15	13	-12	36
17	Salernitana	35	9	9	17	-13	36
18	Cittadella	34	9	9	16	-22	36
19	Brescia	34	7	14	13	-8	35
20	Cosenza	35	7	13	15	-20	34

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	16	13	2	1	+27	41
2	Pisa	17	12	3	2	+18	39
3	Spezia	17	11	4	2	+18	37
4	Juve Stabia	17	10	3	4	+8	33
5	Carrarese	18	9	5	4	+5	32
6	Catanzaro	18	7	8	3	+10	29
7	Cremonese	18	7	7	4	+7	28
8	Cesena	18	7	7	4	+5	28
9	Salernitana	18	8	4	6	+3	28
10	Bari	18	6	9	3	+4	27
11	Mantova	17	7	6	4	+4	27
12	Palermo	17	7	4	6	+5	25
13	Modena	17	6	7	4	+4	25
14	Sampdoria	18	5	7	6	-3	22
15	Cosenza	18	5	7	6	-6	22
16	Sudtirol	17	5	6	6	-3	21
17	Reggiana	18	5	6	7	-3	21
18	Frosinone	18	4	9	5	-6	21
19	Brescia	17	3	8	6	-2	17
20	Cittadella	16	2	7	7	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	18	11	4	3	+14	37
2	Pisa	18	9	4	5	+7	31
3	Cremonese	17	8	5	4	+11	29
4	Spezia	18	5	11	2	+8	26
5	Palermo	18	6	5	7	+3	23
6	Cittadella	18	7	2	9	-12	23
7	Sudtirol	18	6	2	10	-5	20
8	Juve Stabia	18	4	8	6	-6	20
9	Modena	18	4	7	7	-4	19
10	Catanzaro	17	3	10	4	-6	19
11	Frosinone	17	4	6	7	-6	18
12	Brescia	17	4	6	7	-6	18
13	Bari	17	3	8	6	-2	17
14	Reggiana	17	4	5	8	-8	17
15	Cesena	17	4	4	9	-9	16
16	Sampdoria	17	2	8	7	-9	14
17	Mantova	18	2	7	9	-12	13
18	Cosenza	17	2	6	9	-14	12
19	Carrarese	16	1	6	9	-13	9
20	Salernitana	17	1	5	11	-16	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.