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Conference League
Referee: M Oliver
Betis
S T U S S
2–1
Full-time
Fiorentina
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 14/12 matches
Win Ø 54%
57%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
43%
75%
Both score Ø 60%
36%
83%
Average goals
2,3
4,1
Scored
1,6
2,6
Conceded
0,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,87 xG 1,05
45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
19 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Betis Fiorentina
Cédric Bakambu 🟨
6′
1–0 A. Ezzalzouli ⚽
C. Bakambu
6′
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
8′
29′
🔁 Y. Adli
↦ D. Cataldi
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Kean
↦ L. Beltrán
G. Lo Celso 🔁
↦ A. Ezzalzouli
63′
64′
🟨 Fabiano Parisi
2–0 Antony ⚽
64′
69′
🔁 A. Richardson
↦ N. Fagioli
69′
🔁 M. Folorunsho
↦ F. Parisi
Romain Perraud 🟨
73′
73′
🟨 Michael Folorunsho
73′
⚽ L. Ranieri 2–1
R. Gosens
Sergi Altimira 🔁
↦ Pablo Fornals
78′
84′
🟨 Yacine Adli
85′
🔁 N. Zaniolo
↦ A. Guðmundsson
95′
🟨 Rolando Mandragora
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
25 Fran Vieites G
24 Aitor Ruibal D
5 Marc Bartra D
6 Natan D
15 R. Perraud D
4 J. Cardoso M
18 Pablo Fornals M
7 Antony M
22 Isco M
10 A. Ezzalzouli M
11 C. Bakambu F
Bench (10)
20 G. Lo Celso
16 Sergi Altimira
41 Manu González
13 Adrián
52 Pablo García
12 R. Rodríguez
23 Y. Sabaly
32 N. Mendy
36 Jesús Rodríguez
2 Héctor Bellerín

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Fiorentina

3-5-2
43 David de Gea G
5 M. Pongračić D
15 P. Comuzzo D
6 L. Ranieri D
65 F. Parisi M
8 R. Mandragora M
32 D. Cataldi M
44 N. Fagioli M
21 R. Gosens M
9 L. Beltrán F
10 A. Guðmundsson F
Bench (10)
29 Y. Adli
20 M. Kean
24 A. Richardson
90 M. Folorunsho
17 N. Zaniolo
22 M. Moreno
23 A. Colpani
30 T. Martinelli
1 P. Terracciano
63 M. Caprini

Coach: R. Palladino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.