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Ligue 2
Referee: T Bouille
Guingamp
U T U U U
1–0
Full-time
Amiens
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 29%
35%
23%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
65%
58%
Both score Ø 56%
54%
58%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 10. · Amiens 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 26 15 6 5 +16 51
2 St Etienne 26 15 4 7 +17 49
3 Le Mans 26 11 11 4 +9 44
4 Reims 26 11 10 5 +14 43
5 Rodez 26 10 10 6 +1 40
6 Dunkerque 26 10 9 7 +14 39
7 Annecy 26 11 6 9 +6 39
8 Montpellier 26 11 5 10 +6 38
9 Red Star 25 10 8 7 +3 38
10 Guingamp 26 9 9 8 -1 36
11 Pau FC 26 9 8 9 -5 35
12 Boulogne 26 8 6 12 -9 30
13 Grenoble 26 6 11 9 -6 29
14 Clermont 26 7 7 12 -5 28
15 Nancy 26 7 6 13 -14 27
16 Amiens 26 6 5 15 -15 23
17 Laval 26 3 11 12 -16 20
18 Bastia 25 3 10 12 -15 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Amiens
-5′
🟥 Jérôme Roussillon
1–0 S. Kielt
L. Mafouta
25′
28′
🟨 Aboubacar Lô
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Lutin
↦ S. Ntamack
Kalidou Sidibé 🟨
48′
51′
🟨 Thomas Monconduit
55′
🔁 I. Sane
↦ J. Mlakar
55′
🔁 C. Louis
↦ J. Roussillon
Y. Demoncy 🔁
↦ S. Kielt
64′
A. Samoura 🔁
↦ A. Sagna
64′
F. Mbemba 🔁
↦ J. Hatchi
65′
69′
🔁 N. Kandil
↦ T. Averlant
T. Ahile 🔁
↦ K. Sidibe
76′
77′
🔁 Y. Rafii
↦ T. Monconduit
82′
🟨 Rayan Lutin
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 A. Ortola G
22 A. Sissoko D
36 A. Demouchy D
18 S. Nair D
29 A. Abdallah D
11 A. Sagna M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibe M
20 J. Hatchi M
9 L. Mafouta F
27 S. Kielt F
Bench (7)
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne
21 Y. Demoncy
2 E. Koffi
19 A. Samoura
17 F. Mbemba
39 T. Ahile
7 D. Gomis

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Amiens

5-4-1
40 P. Bernardoni G
14 A. Leautey D
39 A. Chabane D
34 S. Bakayoko D
28 A. Lo D
21 J. Roussillon D
11 T. Averlant M
6 T. Monconduit M
45 I. Fofana M
90 S. Ntamack M
9 J. Mlakar F
Bench (7)
16 A. Sauvage
29 I. Sane
44 C. Louis
19 Y. Rafii
10 N. Kandil
88 Y. Kore
27 R. Lutin

Coach: Julien Ielsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
U
4,00
B
5,06
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bouille · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.