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Ligue 2

Referee: G Kubler

Troyes

S S U S S

1–0

Full-time

Red Star

U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Red Star

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 17/16 matches

Win Ø 55%

59%

50%

Points per game

2,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

53%

50%

Both score Ø 52%

59%

44%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

18 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 6

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 1. · Red Star 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	17	10	5	2	+14	35
2	St Etienne	17	9	3	5	+10	30
3	Le Mans	17	8	6	3	+5	30
4	Reims	17	8	5	4	+12	29
5	Red Star	16	8	5	3	+6	29
6	Dunkerque	17	7	6	4	+10	27
7	Pau FC	17	7	5	5	-2	26
8	Montpellier	17	7	4	6	+2	25
9	Guingamp	17	6	5	6	-5	23
10	Annecy	17	6	4	7	+3	22
11	Grenoble	17	5	6	6	-2	21
12	Rodez	17	5	6	6	-5	21
13	Clermont	17	4	7	6	-5	19
14	Amiens	17	5	3	9	-5	18
15	Nancy	17	5	3	9	-7	18
16	Boulogne	17	4	4	9	-8	16
17	Laval	17	3	6	8	-9	15
18	Bastia	16	1	5	10	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	9	7	1	1	+12	22
2	Le Mans	9	5	2	2	+3	17
3	Reims	8	5	1	2	+8	16
4	Dunkerque	9	4	3	2	+7	15
5	St Etienne	8	4	2	2	+10	14
6	Montpellier	9	4	2	3	+3	14
7	Grenoble	9	3	5	1	+1	14
8	Rodez	9	3	4	2	+1	13
9	Pau FC	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	Red Star	8	3	3	2	-1	12
11	Guingamp	9	3	3	3	-4	12
12	Annecy	8	2	4	2	+3	10
13	Clermont	8	2	4	2	+0	10
14	Nancy	8	3	1	4	-1	10
15	Boulogne	9	2	1	6	-8	7
16	Amiens	8	1	2	5	-4	5
17	Bastia	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Laval	8	0	3	5	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	8	5	2	1	+7	17
2	St Etienne	9	5	1	3	+0	16
3	Reims	9	3	4	2	+4	13
4	Le Mans	8	3	4	1	+2	13
5	Troyes	8	3	4	1	+2	13
6	Amiens	9	4	1	4	-1	13
7	Pau FC	8	3	4	1	-1	13
8	Dunkerque	8	3	3	2	+3	12
9	Annecy	9	4	0	5	+0	12
10	Laval	9	3	3	3	-2	12
11	Guingamp	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Montpellier	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Boulogne	8	2	3	3	+0	9
14	Clermont	9	2	3	4	-5	9
15	Nancy	9	2	2	5	-6	8
16	Rodez	8	2	2	4	-6	8
17	Grenoble	8	2	1	5	-3	7
18	Bastia	9	0	3	6	-8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.