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Ligue 2
Referee: Pierre Gaillouste
Le Mans
U U S S U
1–0
Full-time
Nancy
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Mans Nancy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Mans 7. · Nancy 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 12 8 3 1 +13 27
2 St Etienne 12 7 2 3 +10 23
3 Red Star 12 7 2 3 +5 23
4 Pau FC 12 6 3 3 -1 21
5 Reims 12 5 4 3 +5 19
6 Montpellier 12 5 3 4 +2 18
7 Le Mans 12 4 5 3 +1 17
8 Dunkerque 12 4 4 4 +7 16
9 Rodez 12 4 4 4 -3 16
10 Guingamp 12 4 4 4 -4 16
11 Annecy 12 4 3 5 +1 15
12 Amiens 12 4 3 5 -2 15
13 Nancy 12 4 3 5 -3 15
14 Clermont 12 3 5 4 -4 14
15 Grenoble 12 2 5 5 -3 11
16 Boulogne 12 3 1 8 -9 10
17 Laval 11 1 6 4 -5 9
18 Bastia 11 0 4 7 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Le Mans Nancy
Malang Gomes 🟨
20′
Alexandre Lauray 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
E. Quarshie 🔁
↦ M. Gomes
46′
W. Harhouz 🔁
↦ A. Rabillard
46′
46′
🔁 P. Ouotro
↦ A. Dabasse
57′
🟨 Brandon Bokangu
I. Cossier 🔁
↦ H. Voyer
59′
I. Hammoudi 🔁
↦ A. Lauray
60′
E. Colas 🔁
↦ D. Gueye
60′
1–0 W. Harhouz
E. Colas
65′
72′
🔁 C. Suljic
↦ T. Bouriaud
72′
🔁 O. Sidibe
↦ W. Bouabdelli
72′
🔁 J. Evans
↦ B. Bokangu
72′
🔁 F. Maouassa
↦ M. Experience
Lucas Buades 🟨
75′
Isaac Cossier 🟨
84′
88′
🟨 Nicolas Saint-Ruf
Nicolas Kocik 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Le Mans

5-3-2
98 N. Kocik G
18 L. Buades D
21 T. Eyoum D
17 S. Yohou D
5 H. Voyer D
22 L. Calodat D
24 M. Robin M
8 A. Lauray M
7 M. Gomes M
9 A. Rabillard F
25 D. Gueye F
Bench (7)
1 E. Hatfout
3 I. Cossier
31 I. Hammoudi
6 E. Quarshie
28 E. Colas
20 W. Harhouz
26 B. Oggad

Coach: Patrick Videira

Nancy

3-1-4-2
1 E. Basilio G
77 Y. Nahounou D
14 N. Saint-Ruf D
4 N. Fernandez D
17 M. Carlier M
12 A. Julloux M
8 W. Bouabdelli M
6 T. Bouriaud M
19 M. Experience M
10 A. Dabasse F
20 B. Bokangu F
Bench (7)
16 M. Sourzac
5 C. Suljic
11 O. Sidibe
22 J. Evans
23 R. Bamba
27 F. Maouassa
29 P. Ouotro

Coach: Pablo Correa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,09
U
3,17
B
3,47
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,20
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.