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Ligue 2

Referee: Guillaume Paradis

Bastia

T U U T T

1–0

Full-time

Clermont

U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Clermont

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

0,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

0,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

18%

42%

Both score Ø 43%

27%

58%

Average goals

1,6

2,2

Scored

0,4

0,9

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

4 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 18. · Clermont 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	12	8	3	1	+13	27
2	St Etienne	12	7	2	3	+10	23
3	Red Star	12	7	2	3	+5	23
4	Pau FC	12	6	3	3	-1	21
5	Reims	12	5	4	3	+5	19
6	Montpellier	12	5	3	4	+2	18
7	Le Mans	12	4	5	3	+1	17
8	Dunkerque	12	4	4	4	+7	16
9	Rodez	12	4	4	4	-3	16
10	Guingamp	12	4	4	4	-4	16
11	Annecy	12	4	3	5	+1	15
12	Amiens	12	4	3	5	-2	15
13	Nancy	12	4	3	5	-3	15
14	Clermont	12	3	5	4	-4	14
15	Grenoble	12	2	5	5	-3	11
16	Boulogne	12	3	1	8	-9	10
17	Laval	11	1	6	4	-5	9
18	Bastia	11	0	4	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Pau FC	6	4	0	2	+1	12
3	Dunkerque	7	3	2	2	+6	11
4	St Etienne	6	3	1	2	+9	10
5	Reims	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Le Mans	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Rodez	7	2	3	2	+0	9
8	Montpellier	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Guingamp	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Nancy	6	2	1	3	+0	7
11	Grenoble	6	1	4	1	-1	7
12	Red Star	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Annecy	5	1	3	1	+3	6
14	Clermont	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Amiens	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Boulogne	7	1	1	5	-9	4
17	Laval	6	0	3	3	-5	3
18	Bastia	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	7	5	1	1	+7	16
2	St Etienne	6	4	1	1	+1	13
3	Montpellier	6	3	1	2	+1	10
4	Amiens	6	3	1	2	+0	10
5	Reims	7	2	3	2	+2	9
6	Pau FC	6	2	3	1	-2	9
7	Annecy	7	3	0	4	-2	9
8	Guingamp	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Nancy	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Clermont	6	2	2	2	-3	8
11	Le Mans	6	1	4	1	+0	7
12	Rodez	5	2	1	2	-3	7
13	Troyes	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Boulogne	5	2	0	3	+0	6
15	Laval	5	1	3	1	+0	6
16	Dunkerque	5	1	2	2	+1	5
17	Grenoble	6	1	1	4	-2	4
18	Bastia	7	0	2	5	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.