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Ligue 2
Referee: Eddy Rosier
Montpellier
S T S S U
2–0
Full-time
Rodez
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
42%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%
26 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Montpellier 6. · Rodez 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 12 8 3 1 +13 27
2 St Etienne 12 7 2 3 +10 23
3 Red Star 12 7 2 3 +5 23
4 Pau FC 12 6 3 3 -1 21
5 Reims 12 5 4 3 +5 19
6 Montpellier 12 5 3 4 +2 18
7 Le Mans 12 4 5 3 +1 17
8 Dunkerque 12 4 4 4 +7 16
9 Rodez 12 4 4 4 -3 16
10 Guingamp 12 4 4 4 -4 16
11 Annecy 12 4 3 5 +1 15
12 Amiens 12 4 3 5 -2 15
13 Nancy 12 4 3 5 -3 15
14 Clermont 12 3 5 4 -4 14
15 Grenoble 12 2 5 5 -3 11
16 Boulogne 12 3 1 8 -9 10
17 Laval 11 1 6 4 -5 9
18 Bastia 11 0 4 7 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montpellier Rodez
13′
🟨 Jordan Mendes Correia
Nicolas Pays 🟨
30′
36′
🟨 Jordan Mendes Correia
36′
🟥 Jordan Mendes Correia
Half-time 0–0
Christopher Jullien 🟨
46′
1–0 T. Savanier
58′
2–0 A. Mendy
T. Savanier
60′
66′
🔁 N. Galves
↦ M. Tourraine
K. Fayad 🔁
↦ T. Chennahi
67′
V. Orakpo 🔁
↦ N. Pays
67′
67′
🔁 K. Nagera
↦ M. Baaloudj
72′
🔁 W. Younoussa
↦ O. Joly
79′
🔁 F. Tait
↦ S. Benchamma
79′
🔁 I. Balde
↦ T. Arconte
L. Mincarelli 🔁
↦ N. Mbuku
86′
Y. Mouanga 🔁
↦ N. El Hannach
86′
A. Sishuba 🔁
↦ T. Sainte-Luce
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
31 S. Ngapandouetnbu G
3 N. El Hannach D
15 J. Laporte D
6 C. Jullien D
17 T. Sainte-Luce D
44 T. Chennahi M
27 B. Omeragic M
18 N. Pays M
11 T. Savanier M
7 N. Mbuku M
19 A. Mendy F
Bench (7)
1 M. Michel
21 L. Mincarelli
23 Y. Mouanga
10 K. Fayad
77 E. Junior Pereira da Silva
28 A. Sishuba
14 V. Orakpo

Coach: Zoumana Camara

Rodez

5-3-2
1 Q. Braat G
14 M. Tourraine D
5 C. Jolibois D
4 M. Magnin D
3 R. Lipinski D
20 R. Ponti D
26 S. Benchamma M
6 J. Mendes M
22 O. Joly M
11 T. Arconte F
10 M. Baaloudj F
Bench (7)
30 E. Crombez
25 N. Galves
15 E. Jean-Lambert
29 F. Tait
8 W. Younoussa
18 I. Balde
9 K. Nagera

Coach: Didier Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,85
U
3,53
B
3,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.