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Ligue 2

Referee: R Landry

Le Mans

S S U T U

1–2

Full-time

Montpellier

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Mans Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

2,8

0,5

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

6,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 9

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Le Mans 10. · Montpellier 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Amiens	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Pau FC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Reims	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Troyes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Nancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Laval	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Dunkerque	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Clermont	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Guingamp	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Grenoble	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Red Star	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Annecy	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Rodez	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Boulogne	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Reims	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Annecy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Rodez	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Red Star	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Pau FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Nancy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Grenoble	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Boulogne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Annecy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.