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Ligue 2
Referee: G Kubler
Pau FC
U S U U T
0–5
Full-time
Rodez
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 30%
32%
27%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
36%
68%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

70% Possession 30%
16 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 10. · Rodez 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 22 14 4 4 +18 46
2 Paris FC 22 13 4 5 +15 43
3 Metz 22 11 8 3 +18 41
4 Dunkerque 22 12 3 7 +7 39
5 Guingamp 22 12 2 8 +13 38
6 Annecy 22 10 6 6 +2 36
7 Laval 22 9 7 6 +10 34
8 Grenoble 22 9 4 9 -1 31
9 Bastia 22 6 12 4 +6 30
10 Pau FC 22 7 8 7 -1 29
11 Amiens 22 9 2 11 -8 29
12 Troyes 22 8 3 11 +0 27
13 Clermont 22 6 6 10 -7 24
14 Ajaccio 22 7 3 12 -12 24
15 Rodez 22 6 5 11 -5 23
16 Red Star 22 6 5 11 -16 23
17 Martigues 22 5 3 14 -24 18
18 Caen 22 4 3 15 -15 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pau FC Rodez
Tairyk Arconte 🟨
8′
10′
N. Cadiou 0–1
O. Kanté 🔁
↦ D. Meddah
36′
45′
🟨 Waniss Taibi
Half-time 0–2
48′
N. Cadiou 0–2
A. Abdallah
O. Ngom 🔁
↦ J. Lopy
59′
K. Diawara 🔁
↦ T. Arconte
60′
Jean Ruiz 🟨
62′
66′
T. Nkada 0–3
T. Bentayeb
67′
🔁 D. Mazou-Sacko
↦ W. Taïbi
67′
🔁 I. Baldé
↦ T. Nkada
69′
T. Bentayeb 0–4
I. Baldé
Jordy Gaspar 🔁
↦ A. Mille
70′
J. Kalulu 🔁
↦ J. Obiang
70′
77′
🔁 A. Trouillet
↦ T. Bentayeb
77′
🔁 M. Bouchouari
↦ N. Galves
79′
I. Baldé 0–5
W. Younoussa
80′
🟨 Abdel Hakim Abdallah
83′
🔁 Y. Verdier
↦ W. Younoussa
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Pau FC

4-1-4-1
1 B. Kamara G
2 T. Koudou D
97 D. Meddah D
25 J. Ruiz D
23 J. Obiang D
8 J. Lopy M
9 P. Mboup M
17 A. Mille M
21 S. Beusnard M
7 T. Arconte M
10 K. Boutaïb F
Bench (7)
19 O. Kanté
6 O. Ngom
18 K. Diawara
12 Jordy Gaspar
33 J. Kalulu
55 M. Jeannin
4 X. Kouassi

Coach: N. Usaï

Rodez

5-3-2
99 M. Diaw G
25 N. Galves D
6 A. Ngouyamsa D
2 É. Vandenabeele D
15 T. Cissokho D
28 A. Abdallah D
8 W. Younoussa M
5 N. Cadiou M
10 W. Taïbi M
9 T. Nkada F
22 T. Bentayeb F
Bench (7)
19 D. Mazou-Sacko
18 I. Baldé
27 A. Trouillet
11 M. Bouchouari
26 Y. Verdier
16 L. Mpasi
4 S. Mambo

Coach: D. Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,48
U
3,30
B ✓
2,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,12
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Kubler · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.