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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Grenoble
T S S S T
2–1
Full-time
Rodez
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grenoble Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
70%
Both score Ø 50%
35%
65%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 9
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Grenoble 9. · Rodez 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 20 12 4 4 +15 40
2 Metz 20 10 7 3 +16 37
3 Paris FC 20 11 4 5 +12 37
4 Dunkerque 20 11 3 6 +6 36
5 Guingamp 20 11 2 7 +11 35
6 Laval 20 9 6 5 +11 33
7 Annecy 20 9 6 5 +2 33
8 Pau FC 20 7 7 6 +1 28
9 Grenoble 20 8 3 9 -2 27
10 Bastia 20 5 11 4 +4 26
11 Amiens 20 8 2 10 -7 26
12 Clermont 20 6 6 8 -4 24
13 Rodez 20 6 5 9 -2 23
14 Red Star 20 6 4 10 -15 22
15 Troyes 20 6 3 11 -4 21
16 Ajaccio 20 6 3 11 -10 21
17 Caen 20 4 3 13 -10 15
18 Martigues 20 4 3 13 -24 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grenoble Rodez
12′
N. Cadiou 0–1
1–1 T. Valls
M. Xantippe
17′
33′
🟨 Till Cissokho
Half-time 1–1
Gaëtan Paquiez 🟨
60′
69′
🟨 Abdel Hakim Abdallah
S. Delos 🔁
↦ G. Paquiez
69′
D. Rigo 🔁
↦ N. Mbemba
69′
2–1 M. Diarra
T. Valls
71′
J. Olaïtan 🔁
↦ A. Kérouédan
75′
A. Mendy 🔁
↦ M. Xantippe
75′
75′
🔁 N. Galves
↦ A. Abdallah
79′
🔁 D. Mazou-Sacko
↦ W. Taïbi
79′
🔁 M. Corredor
↦ I. Baldé
82′
🟨 Noah Cadiou
85′
🔁 T. Bentayeb
↦ L. Laurent
86′
🔁 M. Achi
↦ W. Younoussa
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Grenoble

5-3-2
13 M. Diop G
29 G. Paquiez D
4 M. Diarra D
24 L. Mouyokolo D
21 A. Tchaptchet D
27 M. Xantippe D
31 N. Mbemba M
25 T. Valls M
70 S. Touray M
9 A. Kérouédan F
38 A. Jabbari F
Bench (7)
17 S. Delos
6 D. Rigo
28 J. Olaïtan
77 A. Mendy
87 N. Zahui
16 B. Allain
10 E. Sylvestre

Coach: F. Rizzetto

Rodez

5-3-2
16 L. Mpasi G
11 M. Bouchouari D
24 L. Laurent D
2 É. Vandenabeele D
15 T. Cissokho D
28 A. Abdallah D
8 W. Younoussa M
5 N. Cadiou M
10 W. Taïbi M
18 I. Baldé F
9 T. Nkada F
Bench (7)
25 N. Galves
19 D. Mazou-Sacko
33 M. Corredor
22 T. Bentayeb
7 M. Achi
4 S. Mambo
1 S. Cibois

Coach: D. Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,97
U
3,29
B
2,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.