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Ligue 2

Referee: E Rosier

Red Star

U U S S U

1–3

Full-time

Pau FC

U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Red Star Pau FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

44%

39%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%

23 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Red Star 14. · Pau FC 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	18	10	4	4	+13	34
2	Paris FC	18	10	4	4	+11	34
3	Dunkerque	18	10	3	5	+5	33
4	Metz	18	8	7	3	+11	31
5	Annecy	18	8	6	4	+3	30
6	Laval	18	8	5	5	+10	29
7	Guingamp	18	9	2	7	+7	29
8	Bastia	18	5	10	3	+5	25
9	Grenoble	18	7	3	8	+0	24
10	Pau FC	18	6	6	6	-1	24
11	Rodez	18	6	5	7	+2	23
12	Clermont	18	6	5	7	-3	23
13	Amiens	18	7	2	9	-5	23
14	Red Star	18	6	4	8	-10	22
15	Troyes	18	6	3	9	-2	21
16	Caen	18	4	3	11	-8	15
17	Ajaccio	18	4	3	11	-12	15
18	Martigues	18	3	3	12	-26	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	9	8	1	0	+16	25
2	Dunkerque	9	8	0	1	+9	24
3	Metz	9	5	4	0	+11	19
4	Annecy	9	6	1	2	+6	19
5	Pau FC	9	5	3	1	+7	18
6	Guingamp	9	5	2	2	+11	17
7	Bastia	9	4	5	0	+8	17
8	Grenoble	9	5	2	2	+6	17
9	Paris FC	9	5	2	2	+4	17
10	Amiens	9	5	2	2	+3	17
11	Laval	9	4	3	2	+4	15
12	Ajaccio	9	4	2	3	+2	14
13	Rodez	9	4	1	4	+0	13
14	Troyes	8	3	2	3	+1	11
15	Caen	10	3	2	5	-2	11
16	Red Star	8	3	2	3	-4	11
17	Clermont	9	2	4	3	+1	10
18	Martigues	10	0	1	9	-17	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	9	5	2	2	+7	17
2	Laval	9	4	2	3	+6	14
3	Clermont	9	4	1	4	-4	13
4	Metz	9	3	3	3	+0	12
5	Guingamp	9	4	0	5	-4	12
6	Annecy	9	2	5	2	-3	11
7	Red Star	10	3	2	5	-6	11
8	Martigues	8	3	2	3	-9	11
9	Rodez	9	2	4	3	+2	10
10	Troyes	10	3	1	6	-3	10
11	Lorient	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Dunkerque	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Bastia	9	1	5	3	-3	8
14	Grenoble	9	2	1	6	-6	7
15	Amiens	9	2	0	7	-8	6
16	Pau FC	9	1	3	5	-8	6
17	Caen	8	1	1	6	-6	4
18	Ajaccio	9	0	1	8	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.