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LaLiga2
Referee: Marta Huerta
Mirandes
T S T S U
4–1
Full-time
Ferrol
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mirandes Ferrol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 26/25 matches
Win Ø 33%
50%
16%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
35%
36%
Both score Ø 38%
35%
40%
Average goals
2,0
2,1
Scored
1,2
0,6
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%
21 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mirandes 4. · Ferrol 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 26 14 6 6 +12 48
2 Huesca 26 13 7 6 +16 46
3 Elche 26 13 7 6 +15 46
4 Mirandes 26 13 6 7 +11 45
5 Almeria 26 12 8 6 +11 44
6 Oviedo 26 12 8 6 +6 44
7 Levante 26 11 10 5 +12 43
8 Granada 26 11 8 7 +11 41
9 Sp Gijon 26 9 9 8 +4 36
10 La Coruna 26 9 8 9 +5 35
11 Zaragoza 26 9 7 10 +4 34
12 Cadiz 26 8 10 8 +2 34
13 Albacete 26 8 10 8 -3 34
14 Eibar 26 9 6 11 -3 33
15 Cordoba 26 9 6 11 -8 33
16 Malaga 26 6 14 6 -1 32
17 Castellon 26 9 5 12 -2 32
18 Burgos 25 8 6 11 -9 30
19 Eldense 26 6 7 13 -15 25
20 Ferrol 25 4 10 11 -21 22
21 Tenerife 26 4 7 15 -17 19
22 Cartagena 26 4 3 19 -30 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mirandes Ferrol
Joaquin Panichelli ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
8′
1–0 Urko Izeta
9′
Urko Izeta 🟨
13′
2–0 Alberto Reina
Víctor Parada
23′
30′
🔁 Héber Pena
↦ Raúl Blanco
41′
Luis Perea 2–1
Naim García
Half-time 2–1
46′
🟨 Aitor Gelardo Vegara
Pablo Tomeo 🔁
↦ Víctor Parada
46′
46′
🔁 E. Insúa
↦ Aitor Buñuel
46′
🔁 E. Cabaco
↦ Naldo
Victor Parada 🟨
50′
60′
🟨 Josep Señé
3–1 J. Panichelli
62′
68′
🔁 Álvaro Sanz
↦ Luis Perea
Joel Roca 🔁
↦ Urko Izeta
75′
79′
🟨 Erick Cabaco
Carlo Adriano 🔁
↦ M. Lachuer
79′
82′
🔁 Josué Dorrio
↦ Naim García
87′
🟨 Emanuel Insua
Adrián Butzke 🔁
↦ J. Panichelli
88′
Alberto Dadie 🔁
↦ Alberto Reina
88′
4–1 Adrián Butzke
Carlo Adriano
92′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Mirandes

5-3-2
13 Raúl Fernández G
2 Hugo Rincón D
22 Juan Gutiérrez D
5 Tachi D
33 Víctor Parada D
29 Iker Benito D
10 Alberto Reina M
6 Jon Gorrotxategi M
19 M. Lachuer M
9 J. Panichelli F
17 Urko Izeta F
Bench (12)
15 Pablo Tomeo
27 Joel Roca
8 Carlo Adriano
7 Adrián Butzke
28 Alberto Dadie
21 Postigo
11 Álex Calvo
4 Unai Eguíluz
3 Julio Alonso
20 Ander Martín
1 Luis López
31 Álex González

Coach: A. Lisci

Ferrol

4-4-2
25 Jesús Ruiz G
22 Aitor Buñuel D
4 A. Puric D
5 Naldo D
3 Rober Correa D
2 Naim García M
24 Luis Perea M
10 Josep Señé M
14 Aitor Gelardo M
21 Raúl Blanco F
9 Eneko Jauregi F
Bench (12)
8 Héber Pena
12 E. Insúa
23 E. Cabaco
6 Álvaro Sanz
17 Josué Dorrio
19 Manu Vallejo
7 Chiki
18 Brais Martínez
13 Yoel Rodríguez
15 David Castro
1 Emilio Bernad
11 Nacho Sánchez

Coach: Alejandro Menéndez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,68
U
3,29
B
5,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,65
U2,5
1,46
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marta Huerta · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.