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Ligue 2

Referee: M Leleu

Pau FC

T T T T U

1–0

Full-time

Caen

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%

7 Shots 22

2 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 2

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 9. · Caen 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ajaccio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Pau FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Laval	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Martigues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Caen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Dunkerque	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Ajaccio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Martigues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Caen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Dunkerque	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Pau FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Laval	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-3	0
9	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.