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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
M'gladbach
U U U T S
2–3
Full-time
Leverkusen
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,58 xG 2,70
42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 25
7 Shots on target 9
5 Blocked shots 7
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

M'gladbach Leverkusen
12′
G. Xhaka 0–1
38′
F. Wirtz 0–2
Tim Kleindienst ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
45′
Half-time 1–2
1–2 N. Elvedi
59′
65′
🔁 M. Terrier
↦ J. Hofmann
T. Čvančara 🔁
↦ A. Pléa
71′
P. Sander 🔁
↦ R. Reitz
71′
82′
🔁 Aleix García
↦ R. Andrich
82′
🔁 A. Adli
↦ V. Boniface
2–2 T. Kleindienst
K. Stöger
85′
F. Chiarodia 🔁
↦ L. Netz
95′
S. Lainer 🔁
↦ F. Honorat
95′
N. Ngoumou 🔁
↦ T. Kleindienst
96′
99′
ℹ️ Amine Adli
VAR: Penalty confirmed
101′
Florian Wirtz
penalty missed
101′
1 F. Wirtz 2–3
Stefan Lainer 🟨
103′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

M'gladbach

4-2-3-1
1 J. Omlin G
29 J. Scally D
3 K. Itakura D
30 N. Elvedi D
20 L. Netz D
27 R. Reitz M
8 J. Weigl M
9 F. Honorat M
7 K. Stöger M
14 A. Pléa M
11 T. Kleindienst F
Bench (9)
31 T. Čvančara
16 P. Sander
2 F. Chiarodia
22 S. Lainer
19 N. Ngoumou
5 M. Friedrich
33 M. Nicolas
10 F. Neuhaus
25 R. Hack

Coach: G. Seoane

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
12 E. Tapsoba D
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Hincapié D
30 J. Frimpong M
34 G. Xhaka M
8 R. Andrich M
20 Álex Grimaldo M
7 J. Hofmann F
10 F. Wirtz F
22 V. Boniface F
Bench (9)
11 M. Terrier
24 Aleix García
21 A. Adli
6 O. Kossounou
14 P. Schick
13 Arthur
17 M. Kovář
44 J. Belocian
19 N. Tella

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,16
U
4,53
B ✓
1,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,47
U2,5
2,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.