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Ligue 2
Referee: N Rainville
Ajaccio
S S T U T
1–2
Full-time
Grenoble
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Grenoble
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
36%
42%
Both score Ø 40%
36%
44%
Average goals
2,1
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajaccio 14. · Grenoble 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 36 20 10 6 +33 70
2 St Etienne 36 19 7 10 +18 64
3 Angers 36 19 7 10 +13 64
4 Rodez 36 15 11 10 +9 56
5 Paris FC 36 15 10 11 +6 55
6 Caen 36 16 6 14 +3 54
7 Laval 36 14 10 12 -5 52
8 Guingamp 36 13 12 11 +6 51
9 Pau FC 36 13 12 11 +5 51
10 Amiens 36 11 16 9 -2 49
11 Grenoble 36 12 12 12 +0 48
12 Bordeaux 36 13 9 14 -1 48
13 Bastia 36 13 8 15 -5 47
14 Ajaccio 36 12 10 14 -8 46
15 Annecy 36 12 9 15 +0 45
16 Dunkerque 36 12 8 16 -16 44
17 Troyes 36 8 14 14 -8 38
18 Quevilly Rouen 36 6 17 13 -4 35
19 Concarneau 36 9 8 19 -17 35
20 Valenciennes 36 4 12 20 -27 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajaccio Grenoble
18′
T. Valls 0–1
A. Mendy
Half-time 0–1
Clement Vidal 🟨
51′
A. Fosse 🔁
↦ M. Soumano
56′
63′
T. Valls 0–2
A. Sanyang
K. Kouassi 🔁
↦ M. Barreto
64′
Everson 🔁
↦ H. Sakhi
64′
67′
🔁 L. Joseph
↦ A. Sanyang
W. Leblanc Touré 🔁
↦ R. Nouri
80′
80′
🔁 E. Sylvestre
↦ P. Meïssa Ba
86′
🔁 N. Mbemba
↦ J. Benet
86′
🔁 G. Paquiez
↦ L. Nestor
86′
🔁 N. Thio
↦ J. Jeno
1–2 A. Fosse
94′
Full-time 1–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U
3,07
B ✓
3,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,30
U2,5
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Rainville · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.