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Ligue 2
Referee: F Benchabane
Valenciennes
T T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Ajaccio
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,2
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 21%
6%
36%
Points per game
0,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
42%
36%
Both score Ø 39%
42%
36%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Valenciennes 20. · Ajaccio 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 33 17 10 6 +25 61
2 Angers 33 17 7 9 +13 58
3 St Etienne 33 17 6 10 +15 57
4 Paris FC 33 14 10 9 +7 52
5 Rodez 33 13 11 9 +9 50
6 Pau FC 33 13 11 9 +7 50
7 Laval 33 13 10 10 -1 49
8 Caen 33 14 6 13 +2 48
9 Guingamp 33 12 11 10 +6 47
10 Grenoble 33 11 12 10 +3 45
11 Ajaccio 33 12 9 12 -3 45
12 Amiens 33 10 14 9 -3 44
13 Bastia 33 12 8 13 -5 44
14 Bordeaux 33 11 9 13 -6 42
15 Dunkerque 33 11 8 14 -13 41
16 Annecy 33 10 9 14 -2 39
17 Troyes 33 8 11 14 -8 35
18 Concarneau 33 9 8 16 -13 35
19 Quevilly Rouen 33 6 15 12 -3 33
20 Valenciennes 33 2 11 20 -30 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valenciennes Ajaccio
Andrew Jung 🟥
-5′
21′
🟨 Stephen Quemper
Lucas Woudenberg 🟨
30′
30′
🟨 Owen Martinez-Jullien
33′
🟨 Francois-Joseph Sollacaro
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 W. Leblanc Touré
↦ O. Martinez-Jullien
1–0 M. Foe-Ondoa
N. Venema
48′
Sacha Banse 🟨
52′
63′
🔁 A. Khelifa
↦ S. Quemper
63′
🔁 V. Jacob
↦ C. Ibayi
66′
🟨 Wolo Touré
M. Oyewusi 🔁
↦ N. Venema
67′
J. Masson 🔁
↦ S. Bansé
74′
S. Doucouré 🔁
↦ A. Jung
74′
76′
🔁 Y. Touzghar
↦ M. Soumano
84′
🔁 A. Fosse
↦ R. Nouri
90′
🟨 Thomas Mangani
J. Moursou 🔁
↦ Flamarion
94′
98′
🟥 Francois-Joseph Sollacaro
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Valenciennes

3-4-2-1
16 J. Louchet G
44 J. Sanda D
15 L. Woudenberg D
14 J. Cuffaut D
24 A. Linguet M
59 M. Foe-Ondoa M
8 S. Bansé M
3 S. Basse M
10 N. Venema F
96 Flamarion F
18 A. Jung F
Bench (7)
90 M. Oyewusi
6 J. Masson
9 S. Doucouré
13 J. Moursou
30 L. Diabaté
17 A. Boutoutaou
34 M. Lilepo

Coach: A. Kantari

Ajaccio

4-4-2
16 F. Sollacaro G
31 T. Strata D
21 C. Avinel D
5 C. Vidal D
3 S. Quemper D
29 H. Sakhi M
36 O. Martinez-Jullien M
6 T. Mangani M
7 R. Nouri M
22 M. Soumano F
18 C. Ibayi F
Bench (7)
33 W. Leblanc Touré
35 A. Khelifa
10 V. Jacob
9 Y. Touzghar
41 A. Fosse
42 J. De Bessa
1 M. Michel

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,83
U
2,93
B
1,92
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
3,20
U2,5 ✓
1,33
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Benchabane · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.