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Super League

Referee: M Jug

AEK

S S U U S

1–0

Full-time

Olympiakos

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Olympiakos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,8

4,2

Scored

3,3

2,5

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 68%

66%

69%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

69%

72%

Both score Ø 54%

55%

52%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

2,3

2,2

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

10 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 1. · Olympiakos 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	29	19	9	1	+40	66
2	PAOK	31	20	4	7	+43	64
3	Olympiakos	29	20	3	6	+36	63
4	Panathinaikos	30	19	5	6	+42	62
5	Aris	28	14	6	8	+13	48
6	Aris Thessalonikis	27	13	6	8	+11	45
7	Lamia	30	10	8	12	-14	38
8	Atromitos	30	8	11	11	-14	35
9	Asteras Tripolis	30	10	4	16	-14	34
10	Panserraikos	30	7	10	13	-19	31
11	OFI Crete	30	6	12	12	-18	30
12	Volos NFC	30	6	8	16	-24	26
13	Panetolikos	30	5	9	16	-24	24
14	Kifisia	30	3	12	15	-32	21
15	Giannina	30	3	11	16	-26	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	14	11	3	0	+24	36
2	Panathinaikos	15	10	3	2	+26	33
3	Olympiakos	15	11	0	4	+24	33
4	PAOK	16	10	3	3	+22	33
5	Aris	14	9	3	2	+12	30
6	Aris Thessalonikis	13	8	3	2	+10	27
7	OFI Crete	15	6	6	3	+5	24
8	Lamia	15	7	2	6	-3	23
9	Panserraikos	15	5	7	3	+1	22
10	Atromitos	15	5	6	4	-3	21
11	Asteras Tripolis	15	6	3	6	-5	21
12	Panetolikos	15	5	3	7	-8	18
13	Volos NFC	15	4	3	8	-8	15
14	Giannina	15	2	7	6	-8	13
15	Kifisia	15	2	7	6	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	15	10	1	4	+21	31
2	AEK	15	8	6	1	+16	30
3	Olympiakos	14	9	3	2	+12	30
4	Panathinaikos	15	9	2	4	+16	29
5	Aris Thessalonikis	14	5	3	6	+1	18
6	Aris	14	5	3	6	+1	18
7	Lamia	15	3	6	6	-11	15
8	Atromitos	15	3	5	7	-11	14
9	Asteras Tripolis	15	4	1	10	-9	13
10	Volos NFC	15	2	5	8	-16	11
11	Panserraikos	15	2	3	10	-20	9
12	Kifisia	15	1	5	9	-23	8
13	Giannina	15	1	4	10	-18	7
14	Panetolikos	15	0	6	9	-16	6
15	OFI Crete	15	0	6	9	-23	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.