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Süper Lig
Referee: M Güzenge
Alanyaspor
S U U T T
2–1
Full-time
Ankaragücü
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Ankaragücü
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
This season — Süper Lig · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
11 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 13. · Ankaragücü 19. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Konyaspor 5 3 2 0 +6 11
3 Fenerbahce 5 3 1 1 +9 10
4 Buyuksehyr 4 3 1 0 +8 10
5 Gaziantep 5 3 1 1 +4 10
6 Ad. Demirspor 5 3 1 1 +3 10
7 Galatasaray 5 3 1 1 +2 10
8 Trabzonspor 5 3 1 1 +1 10
9 Kayserispor 5 2 0 3 -1 6
10 Antalyaspor 5 2 0 3 -2 6
11 Giresunspor 5 2 0 3 -3 6
12 Kasimpasa 5 2 0 3 -8 6
13 Alanyaspor 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Karagumruk 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Sivasspor 5 0 3 2 -5 3
16 İstanbulspor 4 1 0 3 -6 3
17 Hatayspor 4 0 1 3 -3 1
18 Ümraniyespor 5 0 1 4 -4 1
19 Ankaragücü 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Ankaragücü
L. Fer 🔁
↦ U. Güneş
14′
Half-time 0–0
Idrissa Doumbia 🟨
49′
Efecan Karaca 🟨
53′
Koka 🔁
↦ Wilson Eduardo
61′
Z. Ferhat 🔁
↦ O. Aydın
61′
62′
🔁 T. Chatzigiovanis
↦ G. Ariyibi
62′
🔁 E. Kılınç
↦ G. Beridze
1–0 Koka ⚽
E. Karaca
65′
69′
⚽ Y. Güreler 1–1
T. Ciğerci
71′
🔁 G. Zahid
↦ Pedrinho
A. Lusamba 🔁
↦ I. Doumbia
81′
Ivan Cavaleiro 🔁
↦ E. Karaca
82′
83′
🔁 L. Diack
↦ T. Antalyalı
2–1 E. Bekiroğlu ⚽
Ivan Cavaleiro
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-3-3
13 R. Rúnarsson G
27 Pedro Pereira D
20 F. Aksoy D
4 F. Bayır D
29 J. Balkovec D
6 U. Güneş M
98 I. Doumbia M
11 E. Bekiroğlu M
7 E. Karaca F
17 Wilson Eduardo F
70 O. Aydın F
Bench (10)
8 L. Fer
93 Koka
10 Z. Ferhat
97 A. Lusamba
19 Ivan Cavaleiro
99 Y. Karagöz
39 K. Erciyas
21 Candeias
88 Y. Özdemir
9 E. Yardımcı

Coach: F. Farioli

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
99 B. Güngördü G
77 O. Ceylan D
4 A. Çankaya D
18 N. Mujakić D
17 Y. Güreler D
48 T. Antalyalı M
30 T. Ciğerci M
12 G. Ariyibi M
8 Pedrinho M
21 G. Beridze M
22 A. Sowe F
Bench (10)
7 T. Chatzigiovanis
54 E. Kılınç
19 G. Zahid
14 L. Diack
26 U. Radaković
88 F. Üzüm
6 Ş. Çetin
11 F. Macheda
1 N. Aslan
10 Jesé

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
U
3,91
B
4,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,16
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

M Güzenge · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.