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2. Bundesliga
St Pauli
S S T U T
0–0
Full-time
Dresden
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Dresden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 22%
24%
19%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 57%
62%
52%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

20 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 1
8 Corners 2
8 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Pauli 15. · Dresden 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bielefeld 21 11 8 2 +22 41
2 Hamburg 21 11 7 3 +24 40
3 Stuttgart 21 11 5 5 +12 38
4 Heidenheim 21 9 7 5 +7 34
5 Greuther Furth 21 9 4 8 +4 31
6 Holstein Kiel 21 8 6 7 +2 30
7 Erzgebirge Aue 21 8 6 7 -1 30
8 Regensburg 21 8 5 8 -3 29
9 Osnabruck 21 7 6 8 +3 27
10 Sandhausen 21 6 9 6 +0 27
11 Darmstadt 21 5 11 5 -4 26
12 Hannover 21 6 7 8 -7 25
13 Nurnberg 21 6 7 8 -8 25
14 Bochum 21 5 8 8 -5 23
15 St Pauli 21 5 7 9 -3 22
16 Wehen 21 5 6 10 -14 21
17 Karlsruhe 21 4 8 9 -12 20
18 Dresden 21 4 5 12 -17 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

31. Aug -19 Dresden – St Pauli 3–3

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,88
U ✓
3,44
B
4,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.