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2. Bundesliga

Greuther Furth

S T U U S

3–0

Full-time

Erzgebirge Aue

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Erzgebirge Aue

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 47%

50%

44%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

61%

Both score Ø 56%

61%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,9

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

12 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

2 Corners 4

13 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Greuther Furth 4. · Erzgebirge Aue 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	18	11	4	3	+19	37
2	Bochum	18	11	3	4	+16	36
3	Holstein Kiel	18	9	6	3	+11	33
4	Greuther Furth	18	9	5	4	+11	32
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	18	9	5	4	+5	32
6	Karlsruhe	18	9	2	7	+5	29
7	Erzgebirge Aue	18	8	4	6	+5	28
8	Hannover	18	8	2	8	+7	26
9	Paderborn	18	7	5	6	+3	26
10	Heidenheim	18	7	5	6	+1	26
11	Regensburg	18	6	5	7	-3	23
12	Osnabruck	18	6	4	8	-8	22
13	Darmstadt	18	6	3	9	-4	21
14	Nurnberg	18	5	5	8	-4	20
15	Braunschweig	18	4	5	9	-19	17
16	St Pauli	18	3	7	8	-8	16
17	Sandhausen	18	4	3	11	-18	15
18	Wurzburger Kickers	18	2	3	13	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	9	6	3	0	+12	21
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	6	3	0	+8	21
3	Bochum	9	6	2	1	+14	20
4	Hamburg	9	6	1	2	+14	19
5	Erzgebirge Aue	9	5	2	2	+5	17
6	Paderborn	9	5	2	2	+4	17
7	Hannover	8	5	1	2	+10	16
8	Regensburg	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	Holstein Kiel	9	4	2	3	+1	14
10	Braunschweig	10	4	2	4	-5	14
11	Karlsruhe	9	4	1	4	+2	13
12	Sandhausen	9	3	3	3	-2	12
13	Nurnberg	10	3	3	4	-3	12
14	Greuther Furth	8	3	2	3	+0	11
15	Darmstadt	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	St Pauli	9	2	3	4	-4	9
17	Osnabruck	9	2	1	6	-6	7
18	Wurzburger Kickers	9	1	3	5	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	10	6	3	1	+11	21
2	Holstein Kiel	9	5	4	0	+10	19
3	Hamburg	9	5	3	1	+5	18
4	Karlsruhe	9	5	1	3	+3	16
5	Bochum	9	5	1	3	+2	16
6	Osnabruck	9	4	3	2	-2	15
7	Erzgebirge Aue	9	3	2	4	+0	11
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	3	2	4	-3	11
9	Darmstadt	9	3	1	5	-3	10
10	Hannover	10	3	1	6	-3	10
11	Paderborn	9	2	3	4	-1	9
12	Regensburg	9	2	3	4	-5	9
13	Nurnberg	8	2	2	4	-1	8
14	St Pauli	9	1	4	4	-4	7
15	Heidenheim	9	1	2	6	-11	5
16	Wurzburger Kickers	9	1	0	8	-11	3
17	Braunschweig	8	0	3	5	-14	3
18	Sandhausen	9	1	0	8	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.