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Championship

Referee: D Whitestone

Derby

T T T T U

1–1

Full-time

Coventry

T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Derby Coventry

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

0,3

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

This season — Championship · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 14%

21%

Points per game

0,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

21%

50%

Both score Ø 47%

36%

57%

Average goals

1,9

2,7

Scored

0,4

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Derby 24. · Coventry 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	14	8	4	2	+7	28
2	Bournemouth	14	7	6	1	+10	27
3	Watford	14	7	5	2	+8	26
4	Reading	14	8	2	4	+5	26
5	Swansea	13	7	4	2	+8	25
6	Bristol City	14	7	3	4	+3	24
7	Brentford	13	6	4	3	+7	22
8	Stoke	14	6	4	4	+3	22
9	Blackburn	14	6	3	5	+11	21
10	Middlesbrough	14	5	6	3	+5	21
11	Cardiff	15	5	5	5	+7	20
12	Millwall	14	4	8	2	+2	20
13	Luton	14	5	4	5	-6	19
14	Huddersfield	15	5	3	7	-4	18
15	QPR	14	4	5	5	-4	17
16	Barnsley	14	4	4	6	-1	16
17	Birmingham	14	3	7	4	-2	16
18	Preston	14	5	1	8	-4	16
19	Sheffield Weds	14	3	5	6	-5	14
20	Rotherham	14	3	4	7	-4	13
21	Coventry	14	3	4	7	-10	13
22	Nott'm Forest	14	3	3	8	-8	12
23	Wycombe	14	2	4	8	-13	10
24	Derby	14	1	4	9	-15	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	7	6	1	0	+9	19
2	Bournemouth	7	5	2	0	+7	17
3	Reading	7	5	0	2	+3	15
4	Middlesbrough	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Swansea	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	QPR	7	3	3	1	+2	12
7	Norwich	7	3	3	1	+2	12
8	Cardiff	8	3	2	3	+6	11
9	Blackburn	7	3	2	2	+5	11
10	Brentford	6	3	2	1	+4	11
11	Barnsley	7	3	2	2	+4	11
12	Bristol City	7	3	2	2	+1	11
13	Stoke	7	3	2	2	+0	11
14	Coventry	7	3	2	2	-3	11
15	Huddersfield	7	3	1	3	+0	10
16	Luton	7	2	3	2	-2	9
17	Rotherham	7	2	2	3	+1	8
18	Nott'm Forest	7	2	2	3	-1	8
19	Millwall	7	1	5	1	-1	8
20	Birmingham	7	2	2	3	-2	8
21	Sheffield Weds	7	1	4	2	-1	7
22	Wycombe	7	1	3	3	-3	6
23	Preston	7	1	0	6	-8	3
24	Derby	7	0	2	5	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	7	5	1	1	+5	16
2	Preston	7	4	1	2	+4	13
3	Bristol City	7	4	1	2	+2	13
4	Millwall	7	3	3	1	+3	12
5	Brentford	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Stoke	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Swansea	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Reading	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Blackburn	7	3	1	3	+6	10
10	Bournemouth	7	2	4	1	+3	10
11	Luton	7	3	1	3	-4	10
12	Cardiff	7	2	3	2	+1	9
13	Birmingham	7	1	5	1	+0	8
14	Huddersfield	8	2	2	4	-4	8
15	Middlesbrough	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Watford	7	1	4	2	-1	7
17	Sheffield Weds	7	2	1	4	-4	7
18	Barnsley	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	Rotherham	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Derby	7	1	2	4	-5	5
21	QPR	7	1	2	4	-6	5
22	Nott'm Forest	7	1	1	5	-7	4
23	Wycombe	7	1	1	5	-10	4
24	Coventry	7	0	2	5	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.