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Championship
Referee: G Eltringham
Birmingham
U U S U T
2–0
Full-time
Barnsley
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — Championship · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
14 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 7
5 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 15. · Barnsley 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Charlton 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 West Brom 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Swansea 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Millwall 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Sheffield Weds 3 2 0 1 +3 6
7 Fulham 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 Derby 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Nott'm Forest 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Hull 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Bristol City 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Brentford 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 QPR 3 1 1 1 -1 4
15 Birmingham 3 1 1 1 -2 4
16 Preston 3 1 0 2 +1 3
17 Reading 3 1 0 2 +0 3
18 Blackburn 3 1 0 2 -2 3
19 Cardiff 3 1 0 2 -3 3
20 Wigan 3 1 0 2 -4 3
21 Luton 3 0 1 2 -2 1
22 Middlesbrough 3 0 1 2 -2 1
23 Huddersfield 3 0 1 2 -2 1
24 Stoke 3 0 1 2 -3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham Barnsley
40′
🟨 Mads Juel Andersen
Half-time 1–0
1–0 L. Jutkiewicz
W. Harding
69′
Wes Harding 🟨
71′
73′
🔁 P. Schmidt
↦ M. Thiam
73′
🔁 M. Wilks
↦ M. Bähre
G. Gardner 🔁
↦ Fran Villalba
74′
2–0 Álvaro Giménez
S. Seddon
77′
J. Montero 🔁
↦ Álvaro Giménez
80′
83′
🔁 A. Halme
↦ L. Thomas
O. Bailey 🔁
↦ L. Jutkiewicz
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Birmingham

5-3-2
1 L. Camp G
12 H. Dean D
4 M. Roberts D
3 K. Pedersen D
2 W. Harding D
42 S. Seddon D
26 D. Davis M
34 I. Šunjić M
17 Fran Villalba
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
24 Álvaro Giménez F
Bench (7)
20 G. Gardner
15 J. Montero
37 O. Bailey
21 Agus Medina
13 D. Stockdale
7 D. Crowley
8 C. Gardner

Coach: Josep Clotet Ruiz

Barnsley

4-2-3-1
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger G
6 M. Andersen D
3 B. Williams D
5 Bambo Diaby D
21 T. Sibbick D
8 C. McGeehan M
10 M. Bähre M
27 A. Mowatt M
16 L. Thomas M
26 M. Thiam M
11 C. Chaplin F
Bench (7)
19 P. Schmidt
36 M. Wilks
24 A. Halme
15 J. Green
20 C. Styles
23 Dani Pinillos
40 B. Collins

Coach: D. Stendel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,24
U
3,30
B
3,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Eltringham · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.