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Championship
Referee: G Ward
Brentford
T U S S S
0–1
Full-time
Birmingham
U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

75% Possession 25%
15 Shots 1
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Brentford Birmingham
18′
K. Pedersen 0–1
S. Seddon
29′
🟨 Gary Gardner
Half-time 0–1
56′
🟨 Dan Crowley
58′
🔁 W. Harding
↦ S. Seddon
M. Forss 🔁
↦ E. Marcondes
64′
72′
🔁 I. Šunjić
↦ D. Crowley
J. Žambůrek 🔁
↦ J. Jeanvier
81′
Mathias Jensen 🟨
86′
88′
🔁 K. Mrabti
↦ J. Maghoma
90′
🟨 Wes Harding
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Brentford

3-4-3
1 David Raya G
22 H. Dalsgaard M
18 P. Jansson D
23 J. Jeanvier D
3 R. Henry M
5 E. Pinnock D
17 E. Marcondes F
7 Sergi Canós F
8 M. Jensen M
11 O. Watkins F
14 J. Dasilva M
Bench (7)
15 M. Forss
31 J. Žambůrek
28 L. Daniels
20 J. Clarke
33 F. Hammar
34 J. Oksanen
32 L. Racic

Coach: T. Frank

Birmingham

5-4-1
1 L. Camp G
12 H. Dean D
5 M. Colin D
4 M. Roberts D
3 K. Pedersen D
42 S. Seddon D
19 J. Maghoma M
26 D. Davis M
20 G. Gardner M
7 D. Crowley M
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
Bench (7)
2 W. Harding
34 I. Šunjić
18 K. Mrabti
13 D. Stockdale
14 J. Clarke-Salter
8 C. Gardner
11 I. Vassell

Coach: Josep Clotet Ruiz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,72
U
3,75
B ✓
4,92
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Ward · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.