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Pro League
Genk
S T T S T
5–2
Full-time
Anderlecht
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 26/28 matches
Win Ø 56%
54%
57%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
62%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
54%
57%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 5. · Anderlecht 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 28 22 1 5 +51 67
2 Anderlecht 28 16 7 5 +14 55
3 Gent 28 15 7 6 +18 52
4 Oostende 28 14 6 8 +10 48
5 Genk 26 14 3 9 +14 45
6 Standard 30 13 3 14 -10 42
7 Charleroi 27 11 7 9 +7 40
8 Kortrijk 29 10 9 10 +0 39
9 Mechelen 30 10 7 13 -11 37
10 Waregem 28 10 6 12 -1 36
11 Lokeren 30 9 8 13 -3 35
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 9 14 -12 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 30 8 5 17 -18 29
16 Beveren 30 8 5 17 -24 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Apr -16 Anderlecht – Genk 1–0

Match report

Genk Anderlecht
25′
F. Đuričić 0–1
F. Acheampong
Half-time 1–1
1–1 L. Bailey
47′
60′
M. Suárez 1–2
F. Đuričić
2–2 T. Buffel
L. Bailey
65′
I. de Camargo 🔁
↦ N. Kebano
71′
3–2 Pozuelo
O. Ndidi
76′
4–2 O. Ndidi
I. de Camargo
78′
79′
🔁 I. Ezekiel
↦ F. NSakala
81′
🔁 D. Lukebakio
↦ F. Đuričić
B. Kumordzi 🔁
↦ Pozuelo
82′
N. Karelis 🔁
↦ L. Bailey
90′
5–2 N. Karelis
I. de Camargo
91′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Genk

1 M. Bizot
27 C. Kabasele
6 S. Dewaest
21 J. Uronen
5 S. Walsh
25 O. Ndidi
24 Pozuelo
92 N. Kebano
19 T. Buffel
77 M. Samatta
31 L. Bailey
Bench (7)
11 I. de Camargo
8 B. Kumordzi
7 N. Karelis
4 B. Hamalainen
15 D. Wouters
26 L. Köteles
71 Y. Buyens

Anderlecht

1 S. Proto
21 F. N'Sakala
14 B. Nuytinck
4 K. Mbodji
36 N. De Medina
11 F. Đuričić
10 D. Praet
31 Y. Tielemans
99 S. Okaka
9 M. Suárez
18 F. Acheampong
Bench (7)
93 I. Ezekiel
46 D. Lukebakio
17 I. Conté
23 F. Boeckx
26 Idrissa Sylla
27 Trézéguet
33 D. Roef

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.