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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Miguel
Santa Clara
S S U U T
1–0
Full-time
Guimaraes
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,2
1,8
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 41%
35%
46%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
50%
27%
Both score Ø 44%
46%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santa Clara 8. · Guimaraes 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 27 21 3 3 +39 66
2 Benfica 26 20 3 3 +49 63
3 Sp Lisbon 27 18 4 5 +25 58
4 Sp Braga 27 18 4 5 +19 58
5 Moreirense 27 14 3 10 -1 45
6 Guimaraes 26 12 6 8 +8 42
7 Belenenses 26 9 11 6 +6 38
8 Santa Clara 26 9 5 12 -1 32
9 Rio Ave 26 8 8 10 -2 32
10 Portimonense 27 9 5 13 -7 32
11 Maritimo 26 8 3 15 -15 27
12 Aves 26 7 5 14 -13 26
13 Boavista 26 7 5 14 -14 26
14 Nacional 26 7 5 14 -27 26
15 Vitoria Setubal 26 5 10 11 -7 25
16 Tondela 26 6 7 13 -11 25
17 Chaves 27 6 6 15 -19 24
18 Feirense 26 2 9 15 -29 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Clara Guimaraes
1–0 Zé Manuel
Patrick
26′
38′
🟨 Mattheus
Bruno Lamas 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 João Carlos
↦ O. John
46′
🔁 Rochinha
↦ Mattheus
Osama Rashid 🔁
↦ Lucas Marques
67′
72′
🔁 Welthon
↦ Rafa
Kaio 🟨
75′
A. Stephens 🔁
↦ Guilherme Schettine
78′
Marco Rocha 🟨
80′
Thiago Santana 🔁
↦ Zé Manuel
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Santa Clara

4-2-3-1
99 Marco Pereira G
12 César D
91 Patrick D
3 Fábio Cardoso D
15 João Lucas D
17 Kaio Pantaleão M
20 Bruno Lamas M
33 Lucas Marques M
7 Ukra M
70 Zé Manuel M
95 Guilherme Schettine F
Bench (7)
6 Osama Rashid
18 A. Stephens
14 Thiago Santana
96 João Lopes
92 Pablo
24 Mamadu Candé
21 M. Chrien

Coach: João Henriques

Guimaraes

4-3-3
56 João Miguel G
2 Pedrão D
5 Rafa D
24 Y. Osorio D
17 F. Sacko D
25 A. Wakaso M
20 Tozé M
16 Mattheus M
30 O. John F
9 Alexandre Guedes F
91 Davidson F
Bench (7)
10 João Carlos
50 Rochinha
7 Welthon
98 Dodô
8 Pêpê Rodrigues
36 Miguel Oliveira
46 Frederico Venâncio

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hugo Miguel · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.