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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Antwerp
S U U S T
3–0
Full-time
Waregem
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
44%
56%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
56%
78%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
3,2
3,4
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Antwerp 5. · Waregem 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 +10 18
2 Royal Excel Mouscron 10 5 3 2 +2 18
3 St Truiden 10 5 2 3 +0 17
4 Waregem 9 5 1 3 +9 16
5 Antwerp 9 4 3 2 +1 15
6 Charleroi 6 4 2 0 +6 14
7 Anderlecht 7 4 2 1 +3 14
8 Beveren 10 3 3 4 +5 12
9 Lokeren 10 3 2 5 -3 11
10 Genk 7 2 4 1 +2 10
11 Kortrijk 10 2 3 5 -6 9
12 Standard 6 2 2 2 -2 8
13 Mechelen 10 1 5 4 -3 8
14 Gent 7 2 1 4 +0 7
15 Eupen 10 1 3 6 -15 6
16 Oostende 10 1 2 7 -9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Waregem
1–0 O. Oularé
J. Dequevy
18′
20′
🟨 Michael Heylen
1–1 M. Baudry
own goal
25′
34′
🟨 Timothy Derijck
Dylan Batubinsika 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 A. Leya
↦ S. Coopman
58′
🟨 Michael Heylen
58′
🟥 Michael Heylen
2–1 G. Hairemans
59′
J. Van Damme 🔁
↦ Ivo Rodrigues
67′
75′
🔁 A. Cordaro
↦ N. De Pauw
W. Owusu 🔁
↦ O. Oularé
78′
80′
🔁 G. De Mets
↦ O. Kaya
Buta 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
82′
Mamoutou N'Diaye 🟨
84′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bolat G
16 M. Bayal Sall D
25 A. Corryn D
21 D. Batubinsika D
38 F. Haroun M
11 J. Dequevy F
17 Mamoutou N'Diaye M
20 G. Hairemans M
2 Matheus D
8 Ivo Rodrigues F
58 O. Oularé F
Bench (7)
37 J. Van Damme
19 W. Owusu
30 Buta
18 N. Ghandri
7 R. Jaadi
9 S. Limbombe
12 A. Ježina

Coach: L. Bölöni

Waregem

4-2-3-1
24 N. Leali G
6 T. Derijck D
2 D. De fauw D
31 B. Hamalainen D
3 M. Baudry D
4 M. Heylen D
10 O. Kaya M
11 N. De Pauw M
43 S. Coopman M
20 I. Doumbia M
99 P. Olayinka F
Bench (7)
7 A. Leya
29 A. Cordaro
8 G. De Mets
14 S. Walsh
15 K. Madu
25 L. Bostyn
33 I. Šaponjić

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.