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Pro League
Charleroi
T S U S T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 11/18 matches
Win Ø 29%
36%
22%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
45%
56%
Both score Ø 56%
55%
56%
Average goals
2,3
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charleroi 9. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 12 9 1 2 +21 28
2 Oostende 13 8 3 2 +13 27
3 Gent 11 7 3 1 +13 24
4 Anderlecht 11 7 3 1 +10 24
5 St Truiden 15 7 1 7 +0 22
6 Genk 11 6 1 4 +1 19
7 Mechelen 15 5 3 7 -6 18
8 Waregem 11 5 2 4 +4 17
9 Charleroi 11 4 4 3 +3 16
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 14 4 4 6 -2 16
11 Beveren 13 5 1 7 -8 16
12 Standard 13 5 1 7 -10 16
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 18 4 3 11 -11 15
14 Lokeren 13 4 1 8 -4 13
15 Westerlo 19 2 7 10 -21 13
16 Kortrijk 12 2 6 4 -3 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Half-time 1–0
1–0 D. Dessoleil
Clinton Mata
52′
2–0 J. Perbet
F. N'Ganga
56′
69′
J. Remacle 2–1
F. Le Postollec
R. Ferber 🔁
↦ E. Sağlık
73′
73′
🔁 T. Azevedo
↦ A. Cerigioni
A. Baby 🔁
↦ C. Tainmont
80′
86′
🔁 K. Tapoko
↦ J. Remacle
K. Geraerts 🔁
↦ J. Perbet
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

35 P. Mandanda
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
24 D. Dessoleil
25 D. Marcq
7 C. Tainmont
13 C. Diandy
28 E. Sağlık
88 D. N'Dongala
19 Clinton Mata
21 J. Perbet
Bench (7)
45 R. Ferber
18 A. Baby
23 K. Geraerts
1 N. Penneteau
3 S. Willems
9 F. Stevance
10 D. Pollet

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

26 R. Riou
29 P. Monteyne
28 O. Volovyk
4 R. Reynaud
5 P. Ngawa
8 F. Le Postollec
15 J. Bostock
10 Y. Croizet
7 J. Remacle
11 A. Cerigioni
19 L. Trossard
Bench (7)
14 T. Azevedo
24 K. Tapoko
1 Y. Lenaerts
3 D. Vandenbroeck
12 K. Houdret
22 S. Asamoah
16 K. Rougkalas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.