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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero Lopez
Espanol
T S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Las Palmas
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
33%
20%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
53%
33%
Both score Ø 40%
47%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 12. · Las Palmas 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 11 2 2 +21 35
2 Ath Madrid 15 11 2 2 +15 35
3 Real Madrid 15 9 3 3 +19 30
4 Celta 15 8 4 3 +4 28
5 Villarreal 15 8 3 4 +4 27
6 La Coruna 15 5 8 2 +7 23
7 Valencia 16 5 7 4 +7 22
8 Sevilla 15 6 4 5 +2 22
9 Ath Bilbao 15 6 3 6 +4 21
10 Eibar 15 5 6 4 +2 21
11 Betis 15 5 4 6 -6 19
12 Espanol 15 5 2 8 -11 17
13 Sociedad 15 4 4 7 -3 16
14 Getafe 16 4 4 8 -8 16
15 Sp Gijon 15 4 3 8 -8 15
16 Malaga 15 3 5 7 -5 14
17 Granada 15 3 5 7 -8 14
18 Vallecano 15 4 2 9 -11 14
19 Las Palmas 15 3 4 8 -10 13
20 Levante 15 2 5 8 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Las Palmas
Papakouli Diop 🟨
19′
34′
🟨 Hernán
Half-time 0–0
Gerard Moreno 🟨
51′
56′
🟨 Aythami Artiles
Salva Sevilla 🔁
↦ Gerard Moreno
57′
57′
🔁 N. El Zhar
↦ Tana
60′
🟨 Roque Mesa
66′
🔁 Willian José
↦ Nauzet Alemán
1–0 F. Caicedo
Javi López
67′
77′
🔁 E. Culio
↦ Roque Mesa
Hernán Pérez 🟨
78′
Abraham 🔁
↦ Víctor Sánchez
79′
Burgui 🔁
↦ F. Caicedo
86′
Salva Sevilla 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Willian José
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Espanol

13 Pau López G
16 Javi López D
6 E. Roco D
22 Álvaro González D
3 Rubén Duarte D
12 P. Diop M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
25 Marco Asensio M
20 F. Caicedo F
17 H. Pérez M
7 Gerard Moreno F
Bench (7)
8 Salva Sevilla
10 Abraham
9 Burgui
1 F. Bardi
5 Víctor Álvarez
19 Joan Jordán
24 Antonio Raillo

Las Palmas

13 Javi Varas
16 Aythami Artiles
23 Dani Castellano D
2 David Simón D
11 Momo M
7 Nauzet Alemán M
4 Vicente Gómez M
14 Hernán M
15 Roque Mesa M
10 S. Araújo M
24 Tana M
Bench (7)
25 N. El Zhar
8 Willian José
19 E. Culio
1 Raúl Lizoáin
12 W. Mubarak
21 Valerón
22 Javier Garrido

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.