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Pro League
2–3
Full-time
Waregem
S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 7/3 matches
Win Ø 31%
29%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
43%
100%
Both score Ø 72%
43%
100%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7. · Waregem 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 6 5 1 0 +9 16
2 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +7 12
3 Club Brugge 6 3 1 2 +8 10
4 St Truiden 6 3 1 2 +3 10
5 Genk 4 3 0 1 +3 9
6 Mechelen 7 2 2 3 -4 8
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 2 1 4 -3 7
8 Gent 4 1 3 0 +1 6
9 Beveren 4 2 0 2 -3 6
10 Westerlo 7 1 3 3 -4 6
11 Charleroi 4 1 2 1 -1 5
12 Lokeren 5 1 1 3 -3 4
13 Waregem 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Kortrijk 5 0 3 2 -2 3
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Standard 4 1 0 3 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Waregem
22′
C. Lepoint 0–1
M. Baudry
27′
M. Baudry 0–2
N. Storm
1–2 A. Cerigioni
K. Ojo
29′
36′
M. Thiam 1–3
M. Leye
Half-time 1–3
66′
🔁 K. Essikal
↦ O. Kaya
R. Regales 🔁
↦ A. Cerigioni
67′
L. Trossard 🔁
↦ T. Azevedo
75′
S. Asamoah 🔁
↦ O. Volovyk
78′
80′
🔁 S. De Ridder
↦ N. Storm
2–3 L. Trossard
82′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

26 R. Riou
29 P. Monteyne
28 O. Volovyk
4 R. Reynaud
16 K. Rougkalas
8 F. Le Postollec
15 J. Bostock
10 Y. Croizet
27 K. Ojo
14 T. Azevedo
11 A. Cerigioni
Bench (7)
9 R. Regales
19 L. Trossard
22 S. Asamoah
1 Y. Lenaerts
5 P. Ngawa
12 K. Houdret
25 N. Delporte

Waregem

1 S. Bossut
6 J. Sami
2 C. D'Ulivo
5 B. Verboom
3 M. Baudry
34 O. Kaya
8 J. Jørgensen
23 C. Lepoint
9 M. Leye
42 N. Storm
7 M. Thiam
Bench (7)
35 K. Essikal
10 S. De Ridder
11 S. Buyl
15 J. Benteke
22 K. Steppe
29 A. Cordaro
43 C. Ekangamene

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.