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Pro League
Waregem
T U T T T
4–2
Full-time
Gent
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 45%
33%
56%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
85%
48%
Both score Ø 67%
78%
56%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Waregem 11. · Gent 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 28 22 1 5 +51 67
2 Anderlecht 28 16 7 5 +14 55
3 Gent 27 15 7 5 +20 52
4 Oostende 28 14 6 8 +10 48
5 Genk 26 14 3 9 +14 45
6 Standard 30 13 3 14 -10 42
7 Charleroi 27 11 7 9 +7 40
8 Kortrijk 29 10 9 10 +0 39
9 Mechelen 30 10 7 13 -11 37
10 Lokeren 30 9 8 13 -3 35
11 Waregem 27 9 6 12 -3 33
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 9 14 -12 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 30 8 5 17 -18 29
16 Beveren 30 8 5 17 -24 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Apr -16 Gent – Waregem 1–1

Match report

Waregem Gent
1–0 A. Diallo
M. Leye
22′
24′
K. Saief 1–1
25′
🔁 H. Van der Bruggen
↦ S. Kums
40′
K. Coulibaly 1–2
D. Miličević
Half-time 1–2
N. Storm 🔁
↦ A. Cordaro
61′
2–2 C. Lepoint
68′
74′
🔁 N. Asare
↦ T. Foket
77′
🔁 M. Simon
↦ L. Depoitre
3–2 M. Leye
C. Lepoint
80′
4–2 M. Leye
N. Storm
90′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Waregem

1 S. Bossut
14 H. Dalsgaard
5 B. Verboom
3 M. Baudry
4 A. Diallo
34 O. Kaya
29 A. Cordaro
10 S. De Ridder
23 C. Lepoint
17 S. Meïté
9 M. Leye
Bench (7)
42 N. Storm
6 J. Sami
8 M. Poletanović
15 J. Benteke
20 F. Mendy
22 K. Steppe
44 A. Zaidi

Gent

1 M. Sels
55 R. Gershon
13 S. Mitrović
23 L. Nielsen
77 D. Miličević
14 S. Kums
10 Renato Neto
15 K. Saief
32 T. Foket
9 L. Depoitre
7 K. Coulibaly
Bench (7)
17 H. Van der Bruggen
21 N. Asare
27 M. Simon
4 Rafinha
16 R. Schoofs
20 Y. Thoelen
22 G. Wikheim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.