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Pro League
Gent
S U U U T
2–0
Full-time
Oostende
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 55%
59%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
68%
Both score Ø 62%
55%
68%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,9
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gent 2. · Oostende 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 22 18 1 3 +40 55
2 Gent 22 13 6 3 +22 45
3 Anderlecht 22 13 6 3 +16 45
4 Oostende 22 11 5 6 +9 38
5 Genk 20 11 3 6 +13 36
6 Mechelen 26 10 6 10 -2 36
7 Standard 26 11 3 12 -12 36
8 Waregem 22 9 5 8 +6 32
9 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
11 Charleroi 22 7 6 9 -2 27
12 Kortrijk 24 6 9 9 -7 27
13 Lokeren 26 7 6 13 -8 27
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 6 9 11 -9 27
15 St Truiden 26 8 3 15 -14 27
16 Beveren 26 7 5 14 -17 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Oostende
1–0 T. Matton
19′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Y. El Ghanassy
↦ M. Jonckheere
56′
🔁 J. Akpala
↦ Z. Cyriac
S. Diedhiou 🔁
↦ K. Coulibaly
68′
73′
🔁 F. Berrier
↦ K. Vandendriessche
M. Simon 🔁
↦ M. Boussoufa
74′
D. Miličević 🔁
↦ T. Matton
83′
2–0 M. Simon
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Gent

1 M. Sels
21 N. Asare
55 R. Gershon
23 L. Nielsen
6 M. Boussoufa
8 T. Matton
14 S. Kums
10 Renato Neto
15 K. Saief
32 T. Foket
7 K. Coulibaly
Bench (7)
11 S. Diedhiou
27 M. Simon
77 D. Miličević
13 S. Mitrović
18 L. Deaux
20 Y. Thoelen
4 Rafinha

Oostende

1 D. Ovono
27 B. Capon
44 A. Milić
5 J. Lukaku
31 B. Godeau
7 S. Siani
15 A. Jali
20 M. Jonckheere
26 K. Vandendriessche
55 Fernando Canesin
9 Z. Cyriac
Bench (7)
8 Y. El Ghanassy
17 J. Akpala
10 F. Berrier
3 N. De Schutter
14 D. Rozehnal
19 N. Pedersen
25 W. Biebauw

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.