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Pro League
Genk
T T S S S
1–2
Full-time
Gent
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 22/24 matches
Win Ø 59%
59%
58%
Points per game
1,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
59%
46%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
54%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 4. · Gent 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 25 19 1 5 +42 58
2 Gent 24 14 7 3 +24 49
3 Anderlecht 25 14 7 4 +15 49
4 Genk 22 13 3 6 +16 42
5 Oostende 25 12 6 7 +9 42
6 Standard 28 12 3 13 -11 39
7 Mechelen 28 10 6 12 -7 36
8 Charleroi 24 9 6 9 +3 33
9 Waregem 25 9 6 10 +0 33
10 Kortrijk 26 8 9 9 -1 33
11 Lokeren 28 8 7 13 -7 31
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 7 9 12 -10 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 28 8 4 16 -15 28
16 Beveren 28 7 5 16 -23 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Gent
1–0 L. Bailey
N. Kebano
16′
23′
L. Depoitre 1–1
T. Matton
Half-time 1–1
N. Karelis 🔁
↦ M. Samatta
46′
71′
🔁 H. Van der Bruggen
↦ D. Miličević
I. de Camargo 🔁
↦ N. Kebano
78′
92′
Renato Neto 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Genk

1 M. Bizot
27 C. Kabasele
6 S. Dewaest
21 J. Uronen
41 T. Castagne
25 O. Ndidi
24 Pozuelo
92 N. Kebano
19 T. Buffel
77 M. Samatta
31 L. Bailey
Bench (7)
7 N. Karelis
11 I. de Camargo
4 B. Hamalainen
5 S. Walsh
8 B. Kumordzi
26 L. Köteles
71 Y. Buyens

Gent

1 M. Sels
21 N. Asare
55 R. Gershon
23 L. Nielsen
77 D. Miličević
8 T. Matton
14 S. Kums
10 Renato Neto
15 K. Saief
32 T. Foket
9 L. Depoitre
Bench (7)
17 H. Van der Bruggen
4 Rafinha
13 S. Mitrović
18 L. Deaux
20 Y. Thoelen
22 G. Wikheim
27 M. Simon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.