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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Valeri

Sampdoria

S U T U S

0–1

Full-time

Milan

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 35%

28%

41%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

41%

Both score Ø 60%

66%

53%

Average goals

3,0

2,4

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

10 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 15. · Milan 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	33	25	4	4	+45	79
2	Napoli	33	21	7	5	+37	70
3	Roma	33	18	11	4	+34	65
4	Inter	33	18	7	8	+14	61
5	Fiorentina	33	17	8	8	+18	59
6	Milan	32	13	10	9	+7	49
7	Sassuolo	33	12	12	9	+3	48
8	Lazio	33	13	9	11	+2	48
9	Chievo	33	12	9	12	-2	45
10	Torino	33	11	9	13	-2	42
11	Genoa	33	11	7	15	-3	40
12	Empoli	33	10	9	14	-9	39
13	Atalanta	33	9	10	14	-7	37
14	Bologna	33	10	7	16	-7	37
15	Sampdoria	32	9	9	14	-3	36
16	Udinese	33	9	8	16	-19	35
17	Carpi	33	7	10	16	-18	31
18	Frosinone	33	8	6	19	-30	30
19	Palermo	33	7	7	19	-32	28
20	Verona	33	3	13	17	-28	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	16	13	3	0	+26	42
2	Juventus	16	13	2	1	+21	41
3	Fiorentina	17	11	4	2	+19	37
4	Roma	16	10	5	1	+22	35
5	Inter	17	11	2	4	+11	35
6	Milan	16	9	4	3	+8	31
7	Genoa	16	9	3	4	+11	30
8	Lazio	17	9	3	5	+9	30
9	Atalanta	17	7	5	5	+5	26
10	Sampdoria	16	7	4	5	+7	25
11	Sassuolo	16	6	7	3	+2	25
12	Torino	17	6	6	5	+3	24
13	Chievo	16	6	6	4	+3	24
14	Frosinone	17	6	4	7	-5	22
15	Empoli	16	5	5	6	+0	20
16	Carpi	17	5	5	7	-2	20
17	Udinese	16	5	4	7	-6	19
18	Bologna	17	4	5	8	-2	17
19	Palermo	16	4	3	9	-9	15
20	Verona	17	2	6	9	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	12	2	3	+24	38
2	Roma	17	8	6	3	+12	30
3	Napoli	17	8	4	5	+11	28
4	Inter	16	7	5	4	+3	26
5	Sassuolo	17	6	5	6	+1	23
6	Fiorentina	16	6	4	6	-1	22
7	Chievo	17	6	3	8	-5	21
8	Bologna	16	6	2	8	-5	20
9	Empoli	17	5	4	8	-9	19
10	Milan	16	4	6	6	-1	18
11	Torino	16	5	3	8	-5	18
12	Lazio	16	4	6	6	-7	18
13	Udinese	17	4	4	9	-13	16
14	Palermo	17	3	4	10	-23	13
15	Sampdoria	16	2	5	9	-10	11
16	Atalanta	16	2	5	9	-12	11
17	Carpi	16	2	5	9	-16	11
18	Genoa	17	2	4	11	-14	10
19	Verona	16	1	7	8	-17	10
20	Frosinone	16	2	2	12	-25	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.