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Pro League
Westerlo
S T U S T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 27/21 matches
Win Ø 23%
22%
24%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
70%
62%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
62%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Westerlo 10. · Royal Excel Mouscron 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 18 14 1 3 +33 43
2 Gent 18 13 3 2 +24 42
3 Oostende 19 10 5 4 +13 35
4 Anderlecht 17 10 5 2 +12 35
5 Genk 17 10 3 4 +11 33
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 28 7 7 14 -10 28
7 Standard 21 9 1 11 -10 28
8 Mechelen 21 7 5 9 -6 26
9 St Truiden 22 8 2 12 -9 26
10 Westerlo 27 6 8 13 -24 26
11 Waregem 17 7 4 6 +4 25
12 Charleroi 17 7 4 6 +1 25
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 21 5 6 10 -7 21
14 Lokeren 23 5 6 12 -9 21
15 Beveren 21 6 3 12 -16 21
16 Kortrijk 19 4 7 8 -7 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Westerlo Royal Excel Mouscron
4′
N. Dussenne 0–1
T. Dingome
1–1 J. Cools
10′
2–1 R. Henkens
F. Gounongbe
27′
32′
M. Oussalah 2–2
M. Tirpan
Half-time 2–2
J. Molenberghs 🔁
↦ R. Lecomte
46′
63′
🔁 V. Viola
↦ T. Dingome
76′
🔁 N. Gulan
↦ M. Oussalah
M. Annys 🔁
↦ R. Henkens
80′
85′
🔁 F. Mulić
↦ V. Viola
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Westerlo

30 K. Van Langendonck
3 F. Daems
2 M. Apau
24 J. Cools
17 K. Schuermans
6 R. Henkens
11 K. Hyland
7 R. Lecomte
16 J. Mustoe
10 B. De Ceulaer
12 F. Gounongbe
Bench (7)
23 J. Molenberghs
8 M. Annys
1 K. Van Hout
9 J. Koffi
14 M. Aoulad
19 A. Verschueren
90 E. Višņakovs

Royal Excel Mouscron

86 Vagner
25 M. Oussalah
3 N. Dussenne
6 T. Mézague
23 M. Tirpan
15 J. Castelletto
5 D. Hubert
9 A. Badri
19 T. Dingome
11 D. Mohamed
17 E. Coulibaly
Bench (7)
16 V. Viola
24 N. Gulan
45 F. Mulić
12 T. Rausin
13 N. Aksentijević
26 L. Vaccaro
27 Frederic Maciel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.