← Match Finder
Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Manuel Gomes Costa
Aves
U U T T S
1–1
Full-time
Porto
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Aves Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
18%
91%
Points per game
0,8
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
55%
64%
Both score Ø 41%
55%
27%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
0,9
2,7
Conceded
1,6
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
15 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 7
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aves 16. · Porto 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 11 10 1 0 +26 31
2 Sp Lisbon 11 8 3 0 +17 27
3 Benfica 11 8 2 1 +15 26
4 Sp Braga 11 7 1 3 +8 22
5 Maritimo 11 7 1 3 +4 22
6 Rio Ave 11 5 2 4 +3 17
7 Boavista 12 5 1 6 -1 16
8 Belenenses 12 5 1 6 -3 16
9 Portimonense 12 4 3 5 -1 15
10 Chaves 12 4 2 6 -4 14
11 Guimaraes 11 4 2 5 -7 14
12 Tondela 12 3 3 6 -3 12
13 Pacos Ferreira 11 3 3 5 -8 12
14 Feirense 11 3 2 6 -4 11
15 Vitoria Setubal 11 2 4 5 -3 10
16 Aves 11 2 3 6 -8 9
17 Moreirense 12 1 4 7 -13 7
18 Estoril 11 2 0 9 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aves Porto
6′
Ricardo Pereira 0–1
Tiquinho
41′
🟨 Jesús Corona
Half-time 0–1
52′
🟨 Jesús Corona
52′
🟥 Jesús Corona
Amilton da Silva 🟨
54′
56′
🔁 M. Pereira
↦ Tiquinho
R. Gauld 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Defendi
59′
1–1 Vitor Gomes
Amilton
63′
68′
🔁 M. Marega
↦ V. Aboubakar
Bruno Braga 🔁
↦ Vitor Gomes
72′
Quim 🟨
73′
74′
🟨 Iván Marcano
Braga 🟨
78′
Claudio Falcão 🔁
↦ Paulo Machado
86′
87′
🔁 André Pereira
↦ Y. Brahimi
Ryan Gauld 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aves

5-4-1
1 Quim G
5 Rodrigo Defendi D
44 Diego Galo D
2 Rodrigo Alves D
10 Paulo Machado M
30 Vitor Gomes M
16 Nildo Petrolina M
26 Ponck D
77 Salvador Agra M
99 C. Arango F
23 Amilton M
Bench (7)
27 R. Gauld
19 Bruno Braga
29 Claudio Falcão
21 Nelson Lenho
33 Derley
50 Baldé
83 Adriano Facchini

Coach: Lito Vidigal

Porto

4-1-3-2
12 José Sá G
5 Ivan Marcano D
13 Alex Telles D
28 Felipe D
21 Ricardo Pereira D
16 H. Herrera M
22 Danilo Pereira M
8 Y. Brahimi M
29 Tiquinho F
9 V. Aboubakar F
17 Jesús Corona M
Bench (7)
2 M. Pereira
11 M. Marega
95 André Pereira
1 Casillas
20 André André
23 D. Reyes
27 Sérgio Oliveira

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rui Manuel Gomes Costa · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.