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Serie A

Referee: Ivano Pezzuto

Chievo

S T T U U

2–1

Full-time

Spal

T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 23%

31%

15%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

54%

31%

Both score Ø 62%

69%

54%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

14 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 8

3 Offside 4

22 Free kicks against 24

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chievo 11. · Spal 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	13	11	2	0	+25	35
2	Inter	13	10	3	0	+16	33
3	Juventus	13	10	1	2	+23	31
4	Roma	12	10	0	2	+15	30
5	Lazio	12	9	1	2	+18	28
6	Sampdoria	13	8	2	3	+9	26
7	Bologna	14	6	2	6	+0	20
8	Milan	13	6	1	6	+1	19
9	Torino	13	4	6	3	-2	18
10	Fiorentina	13	5	2	6	+4	17
11	Chievo	13	4	5	4	-5	17
12	Atalanta	13	4	4	5	+1	16
13	Cagliari	13	5	0	8	-9	15
14	Udinese	12	4	0	8	-5	12
15	Crotone	13	3	3	7	-13	12
16	Sassuolo	13	3	2	8	-14	11
17	Spal	13	2	4	7	-10	10
18	Genoa	13	2	3	8	-8	9
19	Verona	13	1	3	9	-19	6
20	Benevento	13	0	0	13	-27	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	7	6	1	0	+10	19
2	Sampdoria	6	6	0	0	+14	18
3	Juventus	7	6	0	1	+14	18
4	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+14	16
5	Roma	7	5	0	2	+5	15
6	Atalanta	7	4	2	1	+8	14
7	Lazio	5	3	1	1	+8	10
8	Fiorentina	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Milan	6	3	1	2	+0	10
10	Torino	6	2	3	1	+3	9
11	Udinese	7	3	0	4	-1	9
12	Cagliari	6	3	0	3	-1	9
13	Bologna	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Spal	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Chievo	6	2	2	2	-2	8
16	Crotone	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Verona	7	1	1	5	-11	4
18	Sassuolo	6	0	2	4	-6	2
19	Genoa	6	0	1	5	-7	1
20	Benevento	7	0	0	7	-15	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Lazio	7	6	0	1	+10	18
3	Roma	5	5	0	0	+10	15
4	Inter	6	4	2	0	+6	14
5	Juventus	6	4	1	1	+9	13
6	Bologna	7	4	0	3	+1	12
7	Milan	7	3	0	4	+1	9
8	Chievo	7	2	3	2	-3	9
9	Torino	7	2	3	2	-5	9
10	Sassuolo	7	3	0	4	-8	9
11	Genoa	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Sampdoria	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Fiorentina	7	2	1	4	+2	7
14	Cagliari	7	2	0	5	-8	6
15	Crotone	6	1	1	4	-10	4
16	Udinese	5	1	0	4	-4	3
17	Atalanta	6	0	2	4	-7	2
18	Verona	6	0	2	4	-8	2
19	Spal	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Benevento	6	0	0	6	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.